{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2a277b13-3518-4066-b0f9-d3afd629e378", "symbol": "6857", "name": "Acer Medical Inc.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.897, "architecture_energy": 55.904, "architecture_maturity": 72.456, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.42, "rotation_up": 18.82, "upward_expansion": 10.21, "deceleration": 43.24, "rotation_down": 62.09, "downward_expansion": 85.87 }, "activity_lines": [ 92.166667, 92.772727, 94.152857, 95.400645 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 92.0, "trend_reference": 97.426667, "distance_from_trend": -0.0557, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 141.540385, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.350009, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -39.045087, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.093596, "excess_performance": -0.534968, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.0557, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.058012, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.350009, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.023807, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.390451, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.038003, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.093596, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.129241, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3120, "relative_activity": 0.455504, "balance": 0.129241, "dry_up": 0.717018, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.030184, "annualized_volatility": 0.111552, "from_high_reference": -0.419558, "from_low_reference": 0.022222 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 97.426667, "fair_value_reference": 141.540385, "structural_low": 90.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": -0.010417, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.045473, "regime_survival": 0.875, "best_return": 0.355469, "worst_return": -0.126316, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.066091, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.137884, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": -0.004367, "worst_return": -0.133803, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.129608, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.287319, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": -0.063241, "worst_return": -0.171171, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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97.857204 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 94.5, "volume": 6361, "typical_volume": 7745.8, "trend": 99.81, "fair_value": 143.845513, "relative_strength": -41.731213, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.059136, "energy": 45.490168, "activity_lines": [ 94.0, 94.772727, 96.075238, 97.469463 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 93.5, "volume": 4217, "typical_volume": 7229.1, "trend": 99.226667, "fair_value": 143.932051, "relative_strength": -37.711626, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.540706, "energy": 44.301814, "activity_lines": [ 93.8, 94.409091, 95.719048, 97.062366 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 92.5, "volume": 5167, "typical_volume": 7052.0, "trend": 98.61, "fair_value": 143.963462, "relative_strength": -38.742892, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.02162, "energy": 45.945491, "activity_lines": [ 93.4, 93.954545, 95.315238, 96.628387 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 92.0, "volume": 3810, "typical_volume": 6729.2, "trend": 98.326667, "fair_value": 142.995513, "relative_strength": -37.286038, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.444114, "energy": 46.748426, "activity_lines": [ 92.933333, 93.481818, 94.897143, 96.201936 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 92.0, "volume": 7548, "typical_volume": 6898.35, "trend": 98.093333, "fair_value": 142.316026, "relative_strength": -37.831135, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.575151, "energy": 52.506057, "activity_lines": [ 92.466667, 93.081818, 94.509524, 95.793764 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 92.0, "volume": 3120, "typical_volume": 6849.55, "trend": 97.426667, "fair_value": 141.540385, "relative_strength": -39.045087, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.89711, "energy": 55.903716, "activity_lines": [ 92.166667, 92.772727, 94.152857, 95.400645 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }