{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2a2d03ce-1c79-40fd-8a42-c0ea65444894", "symbol": "301458", "name": "Juneway Electronic Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 63.624, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -21.11, "architecture_energy": 34.932, "architecture_maturity": 42.364, "architecture_confidence": 54.468, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 41.17, "rotation_up": 14.1, "upward_expansion": 16.78, "deceleration": 66.5, "rotation_down": 64.63, "downward_expansion": 41.78 }, "activity_lines": [ 36.401333, 42.522, 44.551737, 43.0184 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 38.16, "trend_reference": 40.863785, "distance_from_trend": -0.066166, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 36.619388, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.042071, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -3.400862, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.034574, "excess_performance": 0.027174, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.066166, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.131011, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.042071, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.183331, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.034009, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.024755, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.034574, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.127802, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 39372348, "relative_activity": 1.036736, "balance": 1.127802, "dry_up": 1.115422, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.243827, "annualized_volatility": 0.940692, "from_high_reference": -0.438824, "from_low_reference": 0.280107 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 40.863785, "fair_value_reference": 36.619388, "structural_low": 29.809999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-07-24", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.112536, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2025-01-10", "close": 35.601791, "volume": 46378010, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-01-17", "close": 32.998222, "volume": 167318650, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-01-24", "close": 37.209293, 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null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 46.939999, "volume": 47848162, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 35.950001, "volume": 44695913, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 34.299999, "volume": 48841021, "typical_volume": 36676925.35, "trend": 40.622128, "fair_value": 36.640748, "relative_strength": -10.446315, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 1.192391, "energy": 22.314465, "activity_lines": [ 41.428, 47.244894, 45.961028, 43.647152 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 33.369999, "volume": 36533291, "typical_volume": 37275850.6, "trend": 40.653528, "fair_value": 36.600368, "relative_strength": -11.205855, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -28.362621, "energy": 37.519366, "activity_lines": [ 37.118, 44.348364, 45.021762, 43.179273 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 38.16, "volume": 39372348, "typical_volume": 37977231.45, "trend": 40.863785, "fair_value": 36.619388, "relative_strength": -3.400862, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -21.110065, "energy": 34.932483, "activity_lines": [ 36.401333, 42.522, 44.551737, 43.0184 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }