{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2a3ae0e9-5670-4915-a1b5-f88059bbe171", "symbol": "XEN", "name": "Xenitra Limited", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 69.893, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 48.09, "architecture_energy": 31.062, "architecture_maturity": 15.714, "architecture_confidence": 74.765, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.", "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.07, "rotation_up": 58.69, "upward_expansion": 76.08, "deceleration": 55.23, "rotation_down": 13.67, "downward_expansion": 5.08 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.003167, 0.002973, 0.002924, 0.002912 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.003, "trend_reference": 0.0028, "distance_from_trend": 0.071429, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.003814, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.213445, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -0.119166, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.5, "excess_performance": 0.436294, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.071429, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.012048, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.213445, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.021223, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.001192, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.058903, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.5, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.253218, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 33875299, "relative_activity": 3.042206, "balance": 1.253218, "dry_up": 2.386743, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.25641, "annualized_volatility": 1.722894, "from_high_reference": -0.25, "from_low_reference": 0.5 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.0028, "fair_value_reference": 0.003814, "structural_low": 0.002, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.227273, "directional_follow_through": 0.227273, "median_excess_return": -0.026766, "regime_survival": 0.727273, "best_return": 0.5, "worst_return": -0.375, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.222222, "directional_follow_through": 0.222222, "median_excess_return": -0.079, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.125, "worst_return": -0.333333, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.111111, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.15557, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.75, "worst_return": -0.625, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.2, 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"relative_strength": 6.041894, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 12.848653, "energy": 8.385465, "activity_lines": [ 0.002833, 0.0027, 0.002855, 0.002838 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.0025, "volume": 1481110, "typical_volume": 6740155.6, "trend": 0.002767, "fair_value": 0.003833, "relative_strength": -11.672353, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -5.962933, "energy": 9.793073, "activity_lines": [ 0.002767, 0.002673, 0.002814, 0.002819 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.004, "volume": 57835497, "typical_volume": 9470100.15, "trend": 0.0028, "fair_value": 0.003833, "relative_strength": 37.292548, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.508379, "energy": 39.08253, "activity_lines": [ 0.0032, 0.002927, 0.002919, 0.002899 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.003, "volume": 33875299, "typical_volume": 11135108.9, "trend": 0.0028, "fair_value": 0.003814, "relative_strength": -0.119166, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.090091, "energy": 31.062176, "activity_lines": [ 0.003167, 0.002973, 0.002924, 0.002912 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }