{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2a3fa6fc-121c-450c-80eb-62e8b4fd3668", "symbol": "PTX", "name": "Petrotx - Limited Partnership", "exchange": "TLV", "country": "IL", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "TA35.TA", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.166, "architecture_energy": 60.437, "architecture_maturity": 65.783, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.51, "rotation_up": 27.71, "upward_expansion": 12.21, "deceleration": 43.41, "rotation_down": 56.79, "downward_expansion": 90.21 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.280133, 0.283636, 0.291374, 0.308684 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.28, "trend_reference": 0.335514, "distance_from_trend": -0.16546, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.144862, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.755429, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -30.842198, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.267016, "excess_performance": -0.295916, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.16546, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.157876, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.755429, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.005458, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.308422, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.075959, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.267016, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.461263, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 19803, "relative_activity": 0.625492, "balance": 0.461263, "dry_up": 0.16941, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.065659, "annualized_volatility": 0.59056, "from_high_reference": -0.72, "from_low_reference": 0.03321 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.335514, "fair_value_reference": 1.144862, "structural_low": 0.271, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 33, "median_return": -0.046602, "positive_rate": 0.30303, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.069838, "regime_survival": 0.878788, "best_return": 0.342205, "worst_return": -0.669421, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.173529, "positive_rate": 0.272727, "directional_follow_through": 0.727273, "median_excess_return": -0.219051, "regime_survival": 0.727273, "best_return": 0.373957, "worst_return": -0.543726, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.165061, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.271531, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.844075, "worst_return": -0.766082, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-01-26", "end": "2024-03-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.035556, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-03-22", "end": "2024-04-05", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.03381, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-04-12", "end": "2024-05-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.0841, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-06-07", "end": "2025-02-14", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.460624, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-02-21", "end": "2025-02-28", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-03-07", "end": "2025-09-12", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.067227, 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"fair_value": 1.183407, "relative_strength": -30.584981, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.668762, "energy": 60.045283, "activity_lines": [ 0.289133, 0.2888, 0.305511, 0.326539 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.281, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 35135.65, "trend": 0.353348, "fair_value": 1.173573, "relative_strength": -31.60339, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.633313, "energy": 76.940687, "activity_lines": [ 0.285933, 0.287309, 0.301247, 0.321424 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.281, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 35135.65, "trend": 0.345548, "fair_value": 1.163951, "relative_strength": -32.941858, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.023884, "energy": 81.545252, "activity_lines": [ 0.282933, 0.286182, 0.297535, 0.316756 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.279, "volume": 1651, "typical_volume": 31311.2, "trend": 0.338581, "fair_value": 1.154317, "relative_strength": -31.284233, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.82137, "energy": 83.08994, "activity_lines": [ 0.280333, 0.284745, 0.294186, 0.312463 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.28, "volume": 19803, "typical_volume": 31659.9, "trend": 0.335514, "fair_value": 1.144862, "relative_strength": -30.842198, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.165619, "energy": 60.436962, "activity_lines": [ 0.280133, 0.283636, 0.291374, 0.308684 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }