{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2a4269ea-9eba-4767-b4fe-b557ed28513a", "symbol": "DUST", "name": "Dustin Group AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 50.237, "architecture_energy": 31.069, "architecture_maturity": 25.226, "architecture_confidence": 55.458, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.32, "rotation_up": 38.99, "upward_expansion": 72.75, "deceleration": 65.13, "rotation_down": 23.75, "downward_expansion": 4.08 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.818, 1.803782, 1.75821, 1.698598 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 1.818, "trend_reference": 1.651167, "distance_from_trend": 0.10104, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.83665, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.68852, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -5.861031, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.089928, "excess_performance": 0.028434, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.10104, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.005761, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.68852, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.078256, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.05861, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.112948, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.089928, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.454804, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3138985, "relative_activity": 0.590325, "balance": 1.454804, "dry_up": 0.755098, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.08784, "annualized_volatility": 0.496259, "from_high_reference": -0.195575, "from_low_reference": 0.43037 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.651167, "fair_value_reference": 5.83665, "structural_low": 1.271, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.058149, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.069324, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.120573, "worst_return": -0.097026, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.237052, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.162829, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.045531, "worst_return": -0.277823, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.317117, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.235451, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.244941, "worst_return": -0.389293, "sufficient": false }, 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advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.391119, "energy": 39.800078, "activity_lines": [ 1.812533, 1.772364, 1.693905, 1.659658 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.774, "volume": 4357883, "typical_volume": 5532931.65, "trend": 1.6547, "fair_value": 6.071271, "relative_strength": -4.017753, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.157721, "energy": 52.473111, "activity_lines": [ 1.818933, 1.778073, 1.709257, 1.667417 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.82, "volume": 5258626, "typical_volume": 5486497.4, "trend": 1.6571, "fair_value": 5.987282, "relative_strength": -2.919107, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.014996, "energy": 60.487378, "activity_lines": [ 1.834, 1.789273, 1.727676, 1.678082 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.812, "volume": 3305093, "typical_volume": 5378869.05, "trend": 1.6549, "fair_value": 5.909964, "relative_strength": -4.56583, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.224334, "energy": 48.210648, "activity_lines": [ 1.832933, 1.796182, 1.743638, 1.688075 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.818, "volume": 3138985, "typical_volume": 5317385.7, "trend": 1.651167, "fair_value": 5.83665, "relative_strength": -5.861031, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.237414, "energy": 31.069003, "activity_lines": [ 1.818, 1.803782, 1.75821, 1.698598 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }