{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2a4cd565-3462-4ef7-a7be-0967f477f774", "symbol": "APTECHT", "name": "Aptech Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 84.106, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 6.279, "architecture_energy": 20.932, "architecture_maturity": 50.561, "architecture_confidence": 86.616, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 61.15, "rotation_up": 15.72, "upward_expansion": 41.67, "deceleration": 86.11, "rotation_down": 41.88, "downward_expansion": 33.34 }, "activity_lines": [ 94.276664, 98.213816, 99.168641, 95.692176 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 96.269997, "trend_reference": 91.138697, "distance_from_trend": 0.056302, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 162.313778, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.40689, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -1.126562, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.228488, "excess_performance": 0.272197, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.056302, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.025013, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.40689, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.012599, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.011266, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.008183, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.228488, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.098927, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 498733, "relative_activity": 0.293541, "balance": 3.098927, "dry_up": 0.202481, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.087359, "annualized_volatility": 0.463342, "from_high_reference": -0.304793, "from_low_reference": 0.451785 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 91.138697, "fair_value_reference": 162.313778, "structural_low": 66.311457, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.065508, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.062918, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.248278, "worst_return": -0.095926, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.045556, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.016257, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.50927, "worst_return": -0.201106, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.21096, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.334022, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.626146, "worst_return": -0.373587, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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104.718665, 104.602122, 99.316101, 94.891947 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 95.989998, "volume": 267866, "typical_volume": 1762408.5, "trend": 90.741252, "fair_value": 166.253314, "relative_strength": -2.278312, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.20304, "energy": 22.534197, "activity_lines": [ 101.011998, 103.255285, 99.576141, 95.241011 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 91.349998, "volume": 436396, "typical_volume": 1756241.4, "trend": 90.753774, "fair_value": 164.931875, "relative_strength": -4.149477, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 15.259772, "energy": 21.399878, "activity_lines": [ 97.003331, 101.229581, 99.336896, 95.280285 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 91.669998, "volume": 173086, "typical_volume": 1714710.1, "trend": 90.801914, "fair_value": 163.541129, "relative_strength": -5.671786, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 8.909875, "energy": 22.46714, "activity_lines": [ 94.407998, 99.297453, 99.069673, 95.339396 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 96.269997, "volume": 498733, "typical_volume": 1699022.05, "trend": 91.138697, "fair_value": 162.313778, "relative_strength": -1.126562, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 6.27913, "energy": 20.931903, "activity_lines": [ 94.276664, 98.213816, 99.168641, 95.692176 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }