{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "2a54891b-c0c6-449d-abcf-e0d9a600d5de",
    "symbol": "HRL-F204",
    "name": "Harel Index Funds Ltd. - Harel Sal (4A) ISE Cyber Security Dollar-Hedged",
    "exchange": "TLV",
    "country": "IL",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "TA35.TA",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -53.678,
    "architecture_energy": 62.428,
    "architecture_maturity": 97.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 59.05,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 22.23,
        "rotation_up": 27.98,
        "upward_expansion": 22.5,
        "deceleration": 66.88,
        "rotation_down": 46.48,
        "downward_expansion": 67.83
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        7.685933,
        7.544709,
        138.33747,
        247.184255
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 8.014,
    "trend_reference": 370.227033,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.978354,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 495.852634,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.983838,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -98.489491,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.984645,
    "excess_performance": -1.013545,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.978354,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.344678,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.983838,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -1.214232,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.984895,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.806192,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.984645,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.122488,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 118474,
      "relative_activity": 0.869885,
      "balance": 1.122488,
      "dry_up": 1.443582,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 6.626961,
      "annualized_volatility": 6.318453,
      "from_high_reference": -0.987952,
      "from_low_reference": 0.164149
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 370.227033,
      "fair_value_reference": 495.852634,
      "structural_low": 6.884,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 21,
        "median_return": -0.000424,
        "positive_rate": 0.47619,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.52381,
        "median_excess_return": 0.002421,
        "regime_survival": 0.761905,
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        "worst_return": -0.103265,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "positive_rate": 0.375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
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        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.065337,
        "worst_return": -0.223118,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
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        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
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        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.307358,
        "sufficient": false
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        "end": "2024-07-05",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
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      },
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "fair_value": 509.772275,
        "relative_strength": -98.735116,
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 506.979141,
        "relative_strength": -98.653658,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -67.299942,
        "energy": 85.340914,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 7.735,
        "volume": 182829,
        "typical_volume": 130831.1,
        "trend": 427.452699,
        "fair_value": 504.158211,
        "relative_strength": -98.65193,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -65.908874,
        "energy": 67.878908,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.5544,
          42.494617,
          230.910065,
          324.746287
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 7.286,
        "volume": 352980,
        "typical_volume": 140353.45,
        "trend": 408.228899,
        "fair_value": 501.356198,
        "relative_strength": -98.729309,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -65.86198,
        "energy": 67.553177,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.5212,
          19.185145,
          197.310727,
          297.638758
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 7.53,
        "volume": 132152,
        "typical_volume": 143281.5,
        "trend": 389.3599,
        "fair_value": 498.605109,
        "relative_strength": -98.615331,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -55.244144,
        "energy": 63.45797,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.5444,
          7.420291,
          166.443742,
          271.787216
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 8.014,
        "volume": 118474,
        "typical_volume": 136195.05,
        "trend": 370.227033,
        "fair_value": 495.852634,
        "relative_strength": -98.489491,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -53.678219,
        "energy": 62.427907,
        "activity_lines": [
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          138.33747,
          247.184255
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}