{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "2a8440c9-2acd-46c2-b2df-6a3345f74760",
    "symbol": "CM",
    "name": "Canadian Imperial Bank Of Commerce",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 64.948,
    "architecture_energy": 61.292,
    "architecture_maturity": 43.898,
    "architecture_confidence": 90.93,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 15.62,
        "rotation_up": 65.93,
        "upward_expansion": 86.59,
        "deceleration": 51.13,
        "rotation_down": 18.81,
        "downward_expansion": 10.93
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        118.685333,
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        114.147466,
        110.584444
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Stable",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 118.7,
    "trend_reference": 105.631308,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.12372,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 65.809318,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.803696,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 11.078719,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.23798,
    "excess_performance": 0.112355,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.12372,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.093582,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.803696,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.036789,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.110787,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.048312,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.23798,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.464412,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 3555310,
      "relative_activity": 0.526405,
      "balance": 3.464412,
      "dry_up": 0.699319,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.040624,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.214278,
      "from_high_reference": -0.03102,
      "from_low_reference": 0.677915
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 105.631308,
      "fair_value_reference": 65.809318,
      "structural_low": 91.26,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 35,
        "median_return": 0.01508,
        "positive_rate": 0.628571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.628571,
        "median_excess_return": 0.010946,
        "regime_survival": 0.771429,
        "best_return": 0.168533,
        "worst_return": -0.070003,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
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        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.128208,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.288335,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "worst_return": -0.100756,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "trend": 101.895929,
        "fair_value": 63.723106,
        "relative_strength": 15.766794,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 121.24,
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        "typical_volume": 7067680.85,
        "trend": 102.892806,
        "fair_value": 64.254287,
        "relative_strength": 20.213925,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.728136,
        "energy": 86.108745,
        "activity_lines": [
          117.066187,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 117.44,
        "volume": 5056614,
        "typical_volume": 7024921.5,
        "trend": 103.760395,
        "fair_value": 64.76139,
        "relative_strength": 16.399019,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.565883,
        "energy": 76.345025,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 118.55,
        "volume": 4469780,
        "typical_volume": 6903552.35,
        "trend": 104.674674,
        "fair_value": 65.282403,
        "relative_strength": 15.494702,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.51653,
        "energy": 75.241879,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 118.7,
        "volume": 3555310,
        "typical_volume": 6753940.4,
        "trend": 105.631308,
        "fair_value": 65.809318,
        "relative_strength": 11.078719,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.948134,
        "energy": 61.292265,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}