{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "2a884f49-1778-419f-9170-eb98d0fc5b8c",
    "symbol": "PGX",
    "name": "INVESCO EXCHANGE TRADED FD TR II PFD ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 84.133,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -67.562,
    "architecture_energy": 61.312,
    "architecture_maturity": 19.833,
    "architecture_confidence": 89.538,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 4.5,
        "rotation_up": 16.84,
        "upward_expansion": 11.78,
        "deceleration": 42.63,
        "rotation_down": 68.66,
        "downward_expansion": 89.78
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        10.73561,
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        10.8405,
        10.892665
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 10.72,
    "trend_reference": 10.971411,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.022915,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 10.557226,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.015418,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -13.328601,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.035877,
    "excess_performance": -0.161502,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.022915,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.005206,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.015418,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.046409,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.133286,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.034516,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.035877,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.779069,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 11238875,
      "relative_activity": 0.890644,
      "balance": 0.779069,
      "dry_up": 1.038331,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.010686,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.053754,
      "from_high_reference": -0.058479,
      "from_low_reference": 0.003745
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 10.971411,
      "fair_value_reference": 10.557226,
      "structural_low": 10.68,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 22,
        "median_return": -0.000758,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.057627,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
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        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.094948,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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      },
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      },
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        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -64.328453,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 10.71,
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        "typical_volume": 12663843.6,
        "trend": 10.993196,
        "fair_value": 10.541408,
        "relative_strength": -10.071041,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -75.396692,
        "energy": 66.518075,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 10.73,
        "volume": 14500306,
        "typical_volume": 12604248.1,
        "trend": 10.982632,
        "fair_value": 10.549268,
        "relative_strength": -10.548646,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -68.84766,
        "energy": 63.856655,
        "activity_lines": [
          10.751878,
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          10.909609
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 10.72,
        "volume": 11238875,
        "typical_volume": 12618823.4,
        "trend": 10.971411,
        "fair_value": 10.557226,
        "relative_strength": -13.328601,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -67.562112,
        "energy": 61.312335,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}