{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2a89f4c8-2601-4383-b279-d361e6040f68", "symbol": "ONEG", "name": "OneConstruction Group Limited Ordinary Shares", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -67.708, "architecture_energy": 82.02, "architecture_maturity": 46.098, "architecture_confidence": 89.081, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.57, "rotation_up": 29.4, "upward_expansion": 22.0, "deceleration": 37.0, "rotation_down": 57.52, "downward_expansion": 100.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.044667, 1.109462, 1.553232, 1.883182 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 1.03, "trend_reference": 2.282103, "distance_from_trend": -0.548662, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.11241, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.749539, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -80.799633, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.790224, "excess_performance": -0.977678, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.548662, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.172478, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.749539, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.049646, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.807996, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.019219, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.790224, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.962543, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 293061, "relative_activity": 0.06289, "balance": 2.962543, "dry_up": 0.047581, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.32767, "annualized_volatility": 3.234946, "from_high_reference": -0.931104, "from_low_reference": 0.430556 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.282103, "fair_value_reference": 4.11241, "structural_low": 0.72, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-07-10", "end": "2026-07-31", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.105263, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-08-07", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2025-01-03", "close": 3.24, "volume": 2189242, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-01-10", "close": 3.13, "volume": 123909, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": 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4.22682, "relative_strength": -79.729829, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Neutral compression", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.33924, "energy": 26.006209, "activity_lines": [ 1.168, 1.165218, 1.888181, 2.137568 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.02, "volume": 250442, "typical_volume": 4704027.95, "trend": 2.340103, "fair_value": 4.187712, "relative_strength": -80.825, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Neutral compression", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.962901, "energy": 30.340513, "activity_lines": [ 1.091333, 1.147798, 1.772547, 2.051948 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.02, "volume": 179534, "typical_volume": 4696976.85, "trend": 2.32577, "fair_value": 4.149547, "relative_strength": -80.514761, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Neutral compression", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.869872, "energy": 37.041464, "activity_lines": [ 1.062667, 1.12856, 1.660818, 1.96678 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.03, "volume": 293061, "typical_volume": 4659910.95, "trend": 2.282103, "fair_value": 4.11241, "relative_strength": -80.799633, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.708309, "energy": 82.019978, "activity_lines": [ 1.044667, 1.109462, 1.553232, 1.883182 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }