{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2a8c70de-4e53-4f40-84e4-3599c11cfe8e", "symbol": "DSTX", "name": "DISTILLATE INTERNATIONAL FUNDAMENTAL STABILITY & VALUE ETF", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 83.353, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 84.564, "architecture_energy": 78.724, "architecture_maturity": 8.675, "architecture_confidence": 67.128, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.01, "rotation_up": 79.6, "upward_expansion": 91.92, "deceleration": 41.89, "rotation_down": 9.03, "downward_expansion": 16.26 }, "activity_lines": [ 34.94806, 34.255566, 33.849074, 33.617492 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 36.2205, "trend_reference": 33.430959, "distance_from_trend": 0.083442, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 26.208569, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.38201, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 0.764071, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.077303, "excess_performance": -0.048322, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.083442, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.027524, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.38201, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.029735, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.007641, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.009347, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.077303, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.982919, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 29732, "relative_activity": 0.606753, "balance": 0.982919, "dry_up": 3.136876, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.031111, "annualized_volatility": 0.207699, "from_high_reference": -0.00219, "from_low_reference": 0.302523 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 33.430959, "fair_value_reference": 26.208569, "structural_low": 30.912594, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": 0.020378, "positive_rate": 0.607143, "directional_follow_through": 0.607143, "median_excess_return": -0.004361, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.058453, "worst_return": -0.066901, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.047961, "positive_rate": 0.636364, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": -0.02957, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.120511, "worst_return": -0.12756, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.04929, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.035534, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.193329, "worst_return": -0.005125, "sufficient": true }, { 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"trend": 33.200315, "fair_value": 26.027034, "relative_strength": -1.508756, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.225784, "energy": 39.231518, "activity_lines": [ 33.695887, 33.481055, 33.389409, 33.313272 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 35.0008, "volume": 192822, "typical_volume": 47683.9, "trend": 33.305582, "fair_value": 26.113334, "relative_strength": 0.881682, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.788686, "energy": 62.893385, "activity_lines": [ 34.199027, 33.771674, 33.568594, 33.429433 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 36.2205, "volume": 29732, "typical_volume": 49001.85, "trend": 33.430959, "fair_value": 26.208569, "relative_strength": 0.764071, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.563912, "energy": 78.723685, "activity_lines": [ 34.94806, 34.255566, 33.849074, 33.617492 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }