{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "2a91e667-181f-4d2e-8a73-f315239dde87",
    "symbol": "SESHAPAPER",
    "name": "Seshasayee Paper and Boards Limited",
    "exchange": "NSI",
    "country": "IN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^NSEI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 91.07,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -37.234,
    "architecture_energy": 19.194,
    "architecture_maturity": 50.598,
    "architecture_confidence": 74.54,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 38.94,
        "rotation_up": 28.23,
        "upward_expansion": 20.64,
        "deceleration": 43.24,
        "rotation_down": 31.89,
        "downward_expansion": 59.31
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        234.003094,
        239.699415
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 229.210007,
    "trend_reference": 243.969728,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.060498,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 292.9576,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.2176,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -6.862765,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.036447,
    "excess_performance": 0.007262,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.060498,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.019258,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.2176,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.104424,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.068628,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.103613,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.036447,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.504031,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 505623,
      "relative_activity": 1.402327,
      "balance": 3.504031,
      "dry_up": 3.939708,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.071206,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.34073,
      "from_high_reference": -0.218007,
      "from_low_reference": 0.083274
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 292.9576,
      "structural_low": 215.050003,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 24,
        "median_return": 0.011365,
        "positive_rate": 0.625,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.375,
        "median_excess_return": -0.003578,
        "regime_survival": 0.791667,
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        "worst_return": -0.115515,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "positive_rate": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.105224,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.110495,
        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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        "fair_value": 293.903011,
        "relative_strength": -8.584525,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 205706,
        "typical_volume": 101959.0,
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        "fair_value": 293.463162,
        "relative_strength": -9.495694,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -66.335908,
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        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 230.229996,
        "volume": 695106,
        "typical_volume": 134699.3,
        "trend": 244.00506,
        "fair_value": 293.224437,
        "relative_strength": -3.720257,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -56.767342,
        "energy": 38.132463,
        "activity_lines": [
          226.698664,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 243.110001,
        "volume": 4275568,
        "typical_volume": 341639.7,
        "trend": 244.107394,
        "fair_value": 293.168121,
        "relative_strength": -0.738641,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -34.529269,
        "energy": 21.117427,
        "activity_lines": [
          232.271332,
          229.745516,
          235.295816,
          240.660537
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 229.210007,
        "volume": 505623,
        "typical_volume": 360559.9,
        "trend": 243.969728,
        "fair_value": 292.9576,
        "relative_strength": -6.862765,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -37.233808,
        "energy": 19.194256,
        "activity_lines": [
          231.894001,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}