{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2a93f142-bc0c-48be-ab84-3051f45bdc4a", "symbol": "WETH", "name": "Wetouch Technology Inc. Common Stock", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.999, "architecture_energy": 39.26, "architecture_maturity": 38.313, "architecture_confidence": 94.712, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.0, "rotation_up": 19.21, "upward_expansion": 4.19, "deceleration": 49.06, "rotation_down": 54.63, "downward_expansion": 77.53 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.188667, 1.225273, 1.34481, 1.403441 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 1.06, "trend_reference": 1.485667, "distance_from_trend": -0.286516, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.522106, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.579716, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -40.4239, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.341615, "excess_performance": -0.529069, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.286516, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.127596, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.579716, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.308268, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.404239, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.433691, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.341615, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.458214, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 947089, "relative_activity": 1.630476, "balance": 0.458214, "dry_up": 1.480795, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.263476, "annualized_volatility": 0.796926, "from_high_reference": -0.711957, "from_low_reference": 0.341602 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.485667, "fair_value_reference": 2.522106, "structural_low": 0.92, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 40, "median_return": -0.038859, "positive_rate": 0.35, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.035503, "regime_survival": 0.825, "best_return": 1.312304, "worst_return": -0.503667, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.147359, "positive_rate": 0.266667, "directional_follow_through": 0.733333, "median_excess_return": -0.222423, "regime_survival": 0.733333, "best_return": 1.345097, "worst_return": -0.638869, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.215385, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": -0.188863, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.482854, "worst_return": -0.707207, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.369959, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.459122, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.141878, "worst_return": -0.77027, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-03-22", "end": "2024-07-05", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.227384, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-07-12", "end": "2024-08-02", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.235849, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-08-09", "end": "2024-10-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.609375, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-10-18", "end": "2025-02-14", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.240196, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-02-21", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.247525, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2025-09-12", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.076233, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-09-19", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.307087, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.196347, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-12-19", "end": "2026-02-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.064935, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-03-06", "end": "2026-03-27", "tenure": "New", 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"energy": 56.886905, "activity_lines": [ 1.240667, 1.344, 1.453143, 1.498258 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 1.34, "volume": 205531, "typical_volume": 449375.4, "trend": 1.538, "fair_value": 2.504535, "relative_strength": -24.546925, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.225096, "energy": 51.466829, "activity_lines": [ 1.26, 1.323455, 1.437952, 1.484581 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.35, "volume": 814506, "typical_volume": 480084.05, "trend": 1.531667, "fair_value": 2.510818, "relative_strength": -20.835371, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.93835, "energy": 43.649299, "activity_lines": [ 1.281333, 1.314, 1.426143, 1.472452 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.27, "volume": 708416, "typical_volume": 496581.85, "trend": 1.524333, "fair_value": 2.516395, "relative_strength": -24.475749, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.946087, "energy": 30.985419, "activity_lines": [ 1.284, 1.297818, 1.408095, 1.45557 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.17, "volume": 970566, "typical_volume": 539672.5, "trend": 1.513667, "fair_value": 2.521331, "relative_strength": -30.883622, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.074317, "energy": 32.18668, "activity_lines": [ 1.258, 1.267636, 1.381095, 1.43271 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.06, "volume": 947089, "typical_volume": 580866.5, "trend": 1.485667, "fair_value": 2.522106, "relative_strength": -40.4239, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.998688, "energy": 39.259837, "activity_lines": [ 1.188667, 1.225273, 1.34481, 1.403441 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }