{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2aa2404c-b75b-4b64-bc3c-3400eecf8429", "symbol": "HEQT", "name": "Global X All-Equity Asset Allocation ETF", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 76.446, "architecture_energy": 53.762, "architecture_maturity": 89.61, "architecture_confidence": 55.893, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.09, "rotation_up": 46.74, "upward_expansion": 75.45, "deceleration": 71.4, "rotation_down": 29.28, "downward_expansion": 13.45 }, "activity_lines": [ 24.082019, 24.054877, 23.697926, 23.191143 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 24.530001, "trend_reference": 22.609654, "distance_from_trend": 0.084935, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 17.999422, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.362822, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 0.43198, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.130817, "excess_performance": 0.010395, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.084935, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.045595, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.362822, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.018504, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.00432, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.001894, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.130817, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.180419, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 60500, "relative_activity": 1.788354, "balance": 1.180419, "dry_up": 1.040497, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.022134, "annualized_volatility": 0.139778, "from_high_reference": -0.006883, "from_low_reference": 0.277804 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 22.609654, "fair_value_reference": 17.999422, "structural_low": 20.303119, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 43, "median_return": 0.013358, "positive_rate": 0.744186, "directional_follow_through": 0.744186, "median_excess_return": 0.000408, "regime_survival": 0.837209, "best_return": 0.106632, "worst_return": -0.07787, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.024261, "positive_rate": 0.733333, "directional_follow_through": 0.733333, "median_excess_return": 0.003086, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.130839, "worst_return": -0.080378, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.102427, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.011449, "regime_survival": 0.875, "best_return": 0.128603, "worst_return": 0.046144, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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36760.0, "trend": 22.425908, "fair_value": 17.86161, "relative_strength": -0.13266, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.842407, "energy": 55.665847, "activity_lines": [ 23.930577, 23.923324, 23.445814, 22.96558 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 23.91, "volume": 26900, "typical_volume": 34070.0, "trend": 22.517864, "fair_value": 17.928346, "relative_strength": 1.052408, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.454497, "energy": 43.973914, "activity_lines": [ 23.903955, 23.937814, 23.549512, 23.061328 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 24.530001, "volume": 60500, "typical_volume": 33830.0, "trend": 22.609654, "fair_value": 17.999422, "relative_strength": 0.43198, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.446307, "energy": 53.761595, "activity_lines": [ 24.082019, 24.054877, 23.697926, 23.191143 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }