{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2aa647ca-0ce0-4ace-9c5b-198ab82821f8", "symbol": "AFCONS", "name": "AFCONS INFRASTRUCTURE LTD", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -71.528, "architecture_energy": 73.772, "architecture_maturity": 13.61, "architecture_confidence": 83.564, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.19, "rotation_up": 9.05, "upward_expansion": 15.97, "deceleration": 37.16, "rotation_down": 79.25, "downward_expansion": 93.97 }, "activity_lines": [ 280.619287, 292.261101, 305.409282, 306.999436 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 274.25, "trend_reference": 311.692963, "distance_from_trend": -0.120128, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 401.517082, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.316966, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -22.655754, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.173946, "excess_performance": -0.130237, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.120128, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.092615, "read": "Falling" 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"structural_low": 265.799988, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": 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"gate": "down", "direction": -70.032801, "energy": 61.509734, "activity_lines": [ 296.9396, 305.448878, 312.627986, 312.646808 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 271.5, "volume": 2481576, "typical_volume": 6778337.75, "trend": 314.652962, "fair_value": 402.915622, "relative_strength": -23.408298, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.354591, "energy": 73.635853, "activity_lines": [ 286.799536, 298.343626, 308.870181, 309.606079 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 274.25, "volume": 5900601, "typical_volume": 6974008.8, "trend": 311.692963, "fair_value": 401.517082, "relative_strength": -22.655754, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.528486, "energy": 73.772022, "activity_lines": [ 280.619287, 292.261101, 305.409282, 306.999436 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }