{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2aaadb93-2cb2-4cab-953b-0845c94935e8", "symbol": "688267", "name": "China Catalyst Holding Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.922, "architecture_energy": 60.441, "architecture_maturity": 16.536, "architecture_confidence": 79.456, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.17, "rotation_up": 12.38, "upward_expansion": 11.15, "deceleration": 43.78, "rotation_down": 68.32, "downward_expansion": 84.49 }, "activity_lines": [ 18.018001, 18.69908, 20.641898, 21.367376 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 19.200001, "trend_reference": 22.112112, "distance_from_trend": -0.131698, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 18.06365, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.062908, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.286705, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.216683, "excess_performance": -0.173479, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.131698, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.022814, "read": "Falling" 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21.43128, 22.379449, 22.561148 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 17.25, "volume": 14249661, "typical_volume": 17556147.8, "trend": 22.440225, "fair_value": 18.020961, "relative_strength": -17.836887, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.089315, "energy": 84.948247, "activity_lines": [ 18.624, 20.45125, 21.854722, 22.218535 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 16.540001, "volume": 10761369, "typical_volume": 17077887.0, "trend": 22.294508, "fair_value": 18.02789, "relative_strength": -21.744379, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.89773, "energy": 87.838003, "activity_lines": [ 17.637334, 19.460561, 21.290453, 21.837875 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 17.99, "volume": 25345844, "typical_volume": 17078923.35, "trend": 22.188228, "fair_value": 18.041608, "relative_strength": -14.919871, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.082103, "energy": 78.825451, "activity_lines": [ 17.582, 18.898682, 20.895191, 21.560165 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 19.200001, "volume": 13852210, "typical_volume": 16577503.3, "trend": 22.112112, "fair_value": 18.06365, "relative_strength": -11.286705, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.922184, "energy": 60.441438, "activity_lines": [ 18.018001, 18.69908, 20.641898, 21.367376 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }