{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2ab34150-af03-447c-86bc-6e082948f890", "symbol": "SNT", "name": "Senstar Technologies Ltd", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.673, "architecture_energy": 64.865, "architecture_maturity": 84.933, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 5.58, "rotation_up": 22.82, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 58.8, "rotation_down": 63.74, "downward_expansion": 87.67 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.754667, 1.847273, 2.155571, 2.412602 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 1.85, "trend_reference": 2.825167, "distance_from_trend": -0.345171, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.641078, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.299529, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -54.257349, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.513158, "excess_performance": -0.700612, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.345171, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.19789, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.299529, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.327565, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.542573, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.088207, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.513158, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.140279, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 80422, "relative_activity": 0.574409, "balance": 0.140279, "dry_up": 0.527724, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.157019, "annualized_volatility": 0.434015, "from_high_reference": -0.653558, "from_low_reference": 0.15625 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.825167, "fair_value_reference": 2.641078, "structural_low": 1.6, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": -0.03224, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.038531, "regime_survival": 0.857143, "best_return": 0.141593, "worst_return": -0.292419, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.116364, "positive_rate": 0.222222, "directional_follow_through": 0.777778, "median_excess_return": -0.128326, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.033613, "worst_return": -0.263374, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.22905, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.195763, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": -0.016807, "worst_return": -0.427835, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-10-25", "end": "2024-11-08", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.057239, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-11-15", "end": "2025-03-14", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.311787, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.084058, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.012107, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-09-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.053613, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-19", "end": 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"volume": 135259, "typical_volume": 179161.55, "trend": 3.167167, "fair_value": 2.627873, "relative_strength": -58.384431, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.316353, "energy": 91.828084, "activity_lines": [ 1.961333, 2.196545, 2.47019, 2.748516 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.73, "volume": 78464, "typical_volume": 140189.8, "trend": 3.0955, "fair_value": 2.631271, "relative_strength": -57.733914, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.438423, "energy": 91.349859, "activity_lines": [ 1.848667, 2.081636, 2.379357, 2.655796 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.76, "volume": 83784, "typical_volume": 138715.7, "trend": 3.005833, "fair_value": 2.634636, "relative_strength": -55.534088, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.999052, "energy": 83.849284, "activity_lines": [ 1.794, 1.988727, 2.299619, 2.569634 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.63, "volume": 52873, "typical_volume": 138174.75, "trend": 2.908167, "fair_value": 2.637104, "relative_strength": -58.299342, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.512075, "energy": 79.072429, "activity_lines": [ 1.726667, 1.887455, 2.213643, 2.480871 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.85, "volume": 80422, "typical_volume": 140008.2, "trend": 2.825167, "fair_value": 2.641078, "relative_strength": -54.257349, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.672836, "energy": 64.865091, "activity_lines": [ 1.754667, 1.847273, 2.155571, 2.412602 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }