{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2ae1997b-879b-403d-a9ee-a4f14a60bd67", "symbol": "GRL", "name": "Goldstone Resources Limited", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 64.81, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -25.382, "architecture_energy": 16.29, "architecture_maturity": 37.937, "architecture_confidence": 43.481, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 50.49, "rotation_up": 34.11, "upward_expansion": 21.27, "deceleration": 38.19, "rotation_down": 23.77, "downward_expansion": 52.93 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.007033, 0.006745, 0.006915, 0.007188 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 0.007, "trend_reference": 0.00756, "distance_from_trend": -0.074033, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.011811, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.407324, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 4.204659, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.363636, "excess_performance": -0.414872, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.074033, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.096716, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.407324, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.032329, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.042047, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.107357, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.363636, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.055107, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 17927089, "relative_activity": 1.779484, "balance": 3.055107, "dry_up": 0.716519, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.215824, "annualized_volatility": 0.991595, "from_high_reference": -0.65, "from_low_reference": 1.8 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.00756, "fair_value_reference": 0.011811, "structural_low": 0.0045, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 36, "median_return": -0.028051, "positive_rate": 0.361111, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": -0.026616, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 1.346154, "worst_return": -0.534884, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.133333, "positive_rate": 0.461538, "directional_follow_through": 0.538462, "median_excess_return": -0.16263, "regime_survival": 0.769231, "best_return": 1.166667, "worst_return": -0.638889, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.431325, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.331856, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.666667, "worst_return": -0.7, "sufficient": 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"activity_lines": [ 0.006267, 0.006423, 0.006987, 0.007277 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.0075, "volume": 1943499, "typical_volume": 11117311.05, "trend": 0.007401, "fair_value": 0.012091, "relative_strength": 14.683685, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -33.118346, "energy": 18.272194, "activity_lines": [ 0.006733, 0.006577, 0.007008, 0.00729 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.007, "volume": 5572239, "typical_volume": 10521945.8, "trend": 0.007451, "fair_value": 0.011998, "relative_strength": 5.523195, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -30.546448, "energy": 17.751191, "activity_lines": [ 0.006933, 0.006641, 0.006984, 0.007264 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.00675, "volume": 3430914, "typical_volume": 9770790.95, "trend": 0.007476, "fair_value": 0.011904, "relative_strength": 0.73311, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -26.378288, "energy": 20.474239, "activity_lines": [ 0.006983, 0.006668, 0.006937, 0.007219 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.007, "volume": 17927089, "typical_volume": 10074317.25, "trend": 0.00756, "fair_value": 0.011811, "relative_strength": 4.204659, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -25.382223, "energy": 16.290106, "activity_lines": [ 0.007033, 0.006745, 0.006915, 0.007188 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }