{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2b0796e6-9926-4026-be72-0e12a8c6ec6f", "symbol": "GPOR", "name": "Gulfport Energy Operating Corp", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -58.103, "architecture_energy": 48.489, "architecture_maturity": 58.532, "architecture_confidence": 84.663, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.45, "rotation_up": 27.53, "upward_expansion": 8.2, "deceleration": 56.57, "rotation_down": 43.34, "downward_expansion": 76.86 }, "activity_lines": [ 159.267333, 159.998182, 166.789476, 175.199247 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 162.76, "trend_reference": 184.644667, "distance_from_trend": -0.118523, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 165.852692, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.018647, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -22.655622, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.23306, "excess_performance": -0.358685, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.118523, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.073968, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.018647, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.127699, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.226556, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.04846, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.23306, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.784789, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2542800, "relative_activity": 1.447498, "balance": 1.784789, "dry_up": 0.978728, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.065129, "annualized_volatility": 0.278976, "from_high_reference": -0.279121, "from_low_reference": 0.091031 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 184.644667, "fair_value_reference": 165.852692, "structural_low": 149.18, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.046337, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.017465, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 0.194977, "worst_return": -0.219135, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.203196, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.14095, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.458107, "worst_return": -0.1687, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.211969, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.204129, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.212125, "worst_return": 0.210809, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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75.377514, "activity_lines": [ 160.828, 164.734182, 175.499571, 182.643892 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 152.91, "volume": 1787074, "typical_volume": 1823779.9, "trend": 188.277667, "fair_value": 164.843526, "relative_strength": -25.281507, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.759398, "energy": 76.492615, "activity_lines": [ 157.734, 161.865273, 172.41219, 180.258129 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 157.27, "volume": 1404231, "typical_volume": 1783275.25, "trend": 186.514, "fair_value": 165.191538, "relative_strength": -22.403288, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.755994, "energy": 63.053004, "activity_lines": [ 156.993333, 160.250364, 170.005524, 178.257634 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 161.37, "volume": 1143166, "typical_volume": 1736916.85, "trend": 185.021, "fair_value": 165.540064, "relative_strength": -20.924794, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.858266, "energy": 55.3445, "activity_lines": [ 157.848667, 159.844727, 168.247333, 176.635441 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 162.76, "volume": 2542800, "typical_volume": 1756686.65, "trend": 184.644667, "fair_value": 165.852692, "relative_strength": -22.655622, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.102636, "energy": 48.489324, "activity_lines": [ 159.267333, 159.998182, 166.789476, 175.199247 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }