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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 68.328, "architecture_energy": 74.73, "architecture_maturity": 11.65, "architecture_confidence": 79.497, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.17, "rotation_up": 74.99, "upward_expansion": 90.91, "deceleration": 48.94, "rotation_down": 14.2, "downward_expansion": 15.25 }, "activity_lines": [ 296.803337, 291.61764, 277.344589, 269.705362 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 291.160004, "trend_reference": 265.748777, "distance_from_trend": 0.095621, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 272.177169, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.069744, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 3.287507, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.028309, "excess_performance": 0.085357, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.095621, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013056, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.069744, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.130814, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.032875, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.237024, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.028309, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 36.4, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1, "relative_activity": 0.00346, "balance": 36.4, "dry_up": 0.117627, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.024712, "annualized_volatility": 0.340653, "from_high_reference": -0.065027, "from_low_reference": 0.269778 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 265.748777, "fair_value_reference": 272.177169, "structural_low": 229.300003, 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275.83904, 262.460182, 261.422633 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 295.220001, "volume": 4, "typical_volume": 346.75, "trend": 264.112149, "fair_value": 271.356313, "relative_strength": 2.498302, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 56.27579, "energy": 84.246884, "activity_lines": [ 291.139333, 280.743191, 266.325635, 263.451983 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 296.670013, "volume": 111, "typical_volume": 288.1, "trend": 264.479178, "fair_value": 271.62818, "relative_strength": 3.367612, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.403092, "energy": 86.141141, "activity_lines": [ 294.151337, 285.14701, 270.271683, 265.55249 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 303.0, "volume": 20, "typical_volume": 289.05, "trend": 265.311311, "fair_value": 271.940623, "relative_strength": 3.722383, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.701292, "energy": 94.284369, "activity_lines": [ 298.254669, 289.911401, 274.529088, 268.037705 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 291.160004, "volume": 1, "typical_volume": 289.05, "trend": 265.748777, "fair_value": 272.177169, "relative_strength": 3.287507, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.32848, "energy": 74.730499, "activity_lines": [ 296.803337, 291.61764, 277.344589, 269.705362 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }