{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2b2568b5-5449-4602-af13-319d6f01a01a", "symbol": "ESSENTIA", "name": "Integra Essentia Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.774, "architecture_energy": 76.816, "architecture_maturity": 14.281, "architecture_confidence": 84.692, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.36, "rotation_up": 8.71, "upward_expansion": 17.72, "deceleration": 37.27, "rotation_down": 77.31, "downward_expansion": 93.39 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.169333, 1.231091, 1.345778, 1.359371 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 1.24, "trend_reference": 1.383181, "distance_from_trend": -0.103516, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.760433, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.550795, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -18.442907, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.173333, "excess_performance": -0.129624, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.103516, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.065953, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.550795, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.143334, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.184429, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.210528, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.173333, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.459932, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5088705, "relative_activity": 0.495946, "balance": 0.459932, "dry_up": 0.586108, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.100442, "annualized_volatility": 0.598785, "from_high_reference": -0.43379, "from_low_reference": 0.227723 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.383181, "fair_value_reference": 2.760433, "structural_low": 1.01, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": -0.042328, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.048932, "regime_survival": 0.88, "best_return": 0.277778, "worst_return": -0.154135, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.108573, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.102818, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.167647, "worst_return": -0.183333, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.097059, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.15664, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.147541, "worst_return": -0.270358, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-05-10", "end": "2024-05-31", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.106312, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-06-07", "end": "2024-07-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.120588, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-07-12", "end": "2024-08-23", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.157182, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-08-30", "end": "2024-09-20", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.0625, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-09-27", "end": "2024-10-18", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.077922, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-10-25", "end": "2024-11-08", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.074675, 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69.087458, "activity_lines": [ 1.256, 1.370099, 1.411999, 1.408933 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.11, "volume": 5544979, "typical_volume": 10672393.55, "trend": 1.406181, "fair_value": 2.786686, "relative_strength": -25.993942, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.069245, "energy": 81.751842, "activity_lines": [ 1.194, 1.307273, 1.38502, 1.3889 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.1, "volume": 6081879, "typical_volume": 10414699.45, "trend": 1.391514, "fair_value": 2.772324, "relative_strength": -27.714188, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.499387, "energy": 81.594419, "activity_lines": [ 1.149333, 1.251636, 1.358328, 1.369147 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.24, "volume": 5088705, "typical_volume": 10260603.85, "trend": 1.383181, "fair_value": 2.760433, "relative_strength": -18.442907, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.773912, "energy": 76.816129, "activity_lines": [ 1.169333, 1.231091, 1.345778, 1.359371 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }