{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2b35b5b7-d98e-40ed-8ed8-bec9ee3b5f51", "symbol": "APPS", "name": "Digital Turbine Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 79.46, "architecture_energy": 45.84, "architecture_maturity": 67.468, "architecture_confidence": 68.043, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.29, "rotation_up": 43.07, "upward_expansion": 70.46, "deceleration": 74.32, "rotation_down": 27.37, "downward_expansion": 10.79 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.434667, 10.317, 8.756214, 7.478097 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 14.34, "trend_reference": 6.1625, "distance_from_trend": 1.326978, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 4.459103, "distance_from_fair_value": 2.215894, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 122.219146, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 2.455422, "excess_performance": 2.267968, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 1.326978, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.379047, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 2.215894, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 2.32288, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 1.222191, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 1.521274, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 2.455422, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.037662, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 44895627, "relative_activity": 1.910493, "balance": 5.037662, "dry_up": 0.851227, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.178745, "annualized_volatility": 1.452485, "from_high_reference": -0.064884, "from_low_reference": 4.233577 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.1625, "fair_value_reference": 4.459103, "structural_low": 2.74, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.012987, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.002537, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.480769, "worst_return": -0.113636, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.377011, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.314541, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.634943, "worst_return": -0.407643, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.095541, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.061897, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.901408, "worst_return": -0.461111, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"energy": 66.370114, "activity_lines": [ 10.922, 9.703273, 7.389381, 6.41714 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 8.335, "volume": 11209552, "typical_volume": 21610194.6, "trend": 5.6295, "fair_value": 4.455256, "relative_strength": 39.522923, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.564415, "energy": 60.414555, "activity_lines": [ 10.186333, 9.704, 7.622905, 6.598301 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 8.45, "volume": 13248934, "typical_volume": 21810579.15, "trend": 5.737167, "fair_value": 4.440962, "relative_strength": 42.887451, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.486707, "energy": 45.107768, "activity_lines": [ 9.584, 9.647545, 7.847024, 6.780269 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.06, "volume": 10659522, "typical_volume": 21864679.8, "trend": 5.8465, "fair_value": 4.426154, "relative_strength": 34.816648, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.379591, "energy": 26.748489, "activity_lines": [ 8.862333, 9.443273, 8.013286, 6.930129 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 14.34, "volume": 44895627, "typical_volume": 23499496.75, "trend": 6.1625, "fair_value": 4.459103, "relative_strength": 122.219146, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.460342, "energy": 45.839955, "activity_lines": [ 10.434667, 10.317, 8.756214, 7.478097 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }