{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2b459e24-83d7-4b39-8529-da0a77f83c64", "symbol": "BOKUS", "name": "Bokusgruppen AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -56.306, "architecture_energy": 53.274, "architecture_maturity": 7.307, "architecture_confidence": 92.627, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.18, "rotation_up": 11.74, "upward_expansion": 10.76, "deceleration": 38.86, "rotation_down": 62.95, "downward_expansion": 84.09 }, "activity_lines": [ 65.813334, 66.796364, 67.654269, 67.957651 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 65.599998, "trend_reference": 68.428759, "distance_from_trend": -0.041339, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 50.375759, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.302214, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -17.18103, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.076994, "excess_performance": -0.138488, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.041339, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.030118, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.302214, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.168025, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.17181, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.099406, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.076994, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.219078, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 16947, "relative_activity": 0.848846, "balance": 0.219078, "dry_up": 0.78844, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.054045, "annualized_volatility": 0.31024, "from_high_reference": -0.232226, "from_low_reference": 0.109571 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 68.428759, "fair_value_reference": 50.375759, 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69.843332, "fair_value": 49.092743, "relative_strength": -12.891136, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -26.006052, "energy": 14.970366, "activity_lines": [ 68.973334, 68.27334, 68.751085, 69.006476 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 68.400002, "volume": 12461, "typical_volume": 25983.65, "trend": 69.721898, "fair_value": 49.365694, "relative_strength": -11.674077, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -25.008594, "energy": 13.913209, "activity_lines": [ 68.946668, 68.242368, 68.749811, 68.913358 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 64.199997, "volume": 18970, "typical_volume": 24349.4, "trend": 69.376316, "fair_value": 49.612249, "relative_strength": -15.989708, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.323282, "energy": 29.662899, "activity_lines": [ 67.333333, 67.556363, 68.353864, 68.557106 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 66.400002, "volume": 18599, "typical_volume": 22492.95, "trend": 68.99403, "fair_value": 49.874488, "relative_strength": -14.236856, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.343916, "energy": 38.064848, "activity_lines": [ 66.76, 67.36, 68.166877, 68.365086 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 65.800003, "volume": 8448, "typical_volume": 20991.55, "trend": 68.7212, "fair_value": 50.128136, "relative_strength": -15.778231, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.590922, "energy": 46.307598, "activity_lines": [ 66.200001, 67.083637, 67.921877, 68.159019 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 65.599998, "volume": 16947, "typical_volume": 19964.75, "trend": 68.428759, "fair_value": 50.375759, "relative_strength": -17.18103, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.305765, "energy": 53.273642, "activity_lines": [ 65.813334, 66.796364, 67.654269, 67.957651 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }