{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2b549fad-c8a0-4f01-9338-13604f2bc89e", "symbol": "LGD", "name": "Liberty Gold Corp.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 62.796, "architecture_energy": 25.955, "architecture_maturity": 46.253, "architecture_confidence": 95.315, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.08, "rotation_up": 37.75, "upward_expansion": 61.36, "deceleration": 89.4, "rotation_down": 31.58, "downward_expansion": 17.7 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.5, 1.482364, 1.479952, 1.437312 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 1.78, "trend_reference": 1.366667, "distance_from_trend": 0.302439, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.573141, "distance_from_fair_value": 2.105693, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 48.876743, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.471074, "excess_performance": 0.350653, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.302439, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.18875, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 2.105693, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.010045, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.488767, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.250667, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.471074, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.573744, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7133800, "relative_activity": 1.394635, "balance": 1.573744, "dry_up": 1.044065, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.113224, "annualized_volatility": 0.85383, "from_high_reference": -0.011111, "from_low_reference": 4.085714 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.366667, "fair_value_reference": 0.573141, "structural_low": 0.92, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.038462, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.068137, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.247863, "worst_return": -0.180328, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.090909, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.011232, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.358974, "worst_return": -0.019231, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.298368, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.35201, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.212121, "worst_return": -0.384615, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"2024-06-21", "end": "2024-07-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.181818, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-07-26", "end": "2024-09-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.076923, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-09-27", "end": "2024-11-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.194444, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-11-22", "end": "2025-02-21", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.03125, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-02-28", "end": "2025-04-18", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.030303, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-04-25", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.133333, "active": false }, { "regime": 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"Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.86331, "energy": 26.858142, "activity_lines": [ 1.502, 1.505636, 1.452762, 1.386731 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 1.49, "volume": 5755800, "typical_volume": 6074255.0, "trend": 1.288333, "fair_value": 0.545513, "relative_strength": 37.429872, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.238799, "energy": 22.757137, "activity_lines": [ 1.503333, 1.504364, 1.461095, 1.401183 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.33, "volume": 3500100, "typical_volume": 5886705.0, "trend": 1.304333, "fair_value": 0.551603, "relative_strength": 20.903232, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 21.353814, "energy": 11.886137, "activity_lines": [ 1.451333, 1.473455, 1.453381, 1.403871 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.35, "volume": 6455000, "typical_volume": 5764755.0, "trend": 1.32, "fair_value": 0.557821, "relative_strength": 20.467079, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 17.436644, "energy": 10.167342, "activity_lines": [ 1.412667, 1.449273, 1.448762, 1.406817 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.35, "volume": 4273400, "typical_volume": 5647105.0, "trend": 1.337333, "fair_value": 0.564038, "relative_strength": 19.095433, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 5.033926, "energy": 12.744849, "activity_lines": [ 1.380667, 1.426, 1.444286, 1.408753 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.78, "volume": 7133800, "typical_volume": 5115175.0, "trend": 1.366667, "fair_value": 0.573141, "relative_strength": 48.876743, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.796319, "energy": 25.955085, "activity_lines": [ 1.5, 1.482364, 1.479952, 1.437312 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }