{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2b5cde72-9024-4aa9-bb56-071ce58eac63", "symbol": "HOODIN", "name": "Hoodin AB", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 54.495, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 19.107, "architecture_energy": 9.671, "architecture_maturity": 31.151, "architecture_confidence": 55.743, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.68, "rotation_up": 34.3, "upward_expansion": 56.62, "deceleration": 65.33, "rotation_down": 22.3, "downward_expansion": 18.28 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.175433, 0.174082, 0.18291, 0.182272 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 0.165, "trend_reference": 0.16965, "distance_from_trend": -0.027409, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.28564, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.42235, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.717714, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.746032, "excess_performance": 0.684537, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.027409, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.191641, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.42235, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.068015, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.117177, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.1572, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.746032, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.238892, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 165671, "relative_activity": 0.177992, "balance": 2.238892, "dry_up": 0.739158, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.372494, "annualized_volatility": 0.989799, "from_high_reference": -0.585427, "from_low_reference": 1.323944 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.16965, "fair_value_reference": 0.28564, "structural_low": 0.08, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.109948, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.114874, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.097059, "worst_return": -0.264957, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.102564, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.164242, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.102564, "worst_return": -0.102564, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.618803, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.692206, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.618803, "worst_return": -0.618803, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 10.758284, "energy": 10.312957, "activity_lines": [ 0.1703, 0.173945, 0.187814, 0.179755 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.1865, "volume": 629779, "typical_volume": 1041380.7, "trend": 0.16425, "fair_value": 0.289022, "relative_strength": 0.135484, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 12.00008, "energy": 7.757454, "activity_lines": [ 0.175367, 0.175982, 0.187145, 0.181437 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.1795, "volume": 367286, "typical_volume": 990131.1, "trend": 0.1673, "fair_value": 0.287121, "relative_strength": -3.56913, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 22.439709, "energy": 9.418666, "activity_lines": [ 0.178133, 0.176327, 0.185679, 0.18242 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.165, "volume": 165671, "typical_volume": 930778.95, "trend": 0.16965, "fair_value": 0.28564, "relative_strength": -11.717714, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 19.106568, "energy": 9.670505, "activity_lines": [ 0.175433, 0.174082, 0.18291, 0.182272 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }