{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "2b70148a-8f8d-46a3-9a1d-2c6b05810610",
    "symbol": "301038",
    "name": "Shenzhen Water Planning & Design Institute Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -62.482,
    "architecture_energy": 54.657,
    "architecture_maturity": 74.564,
    "architecture_confidence": 75.642,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 11.69,
        "rotation_up": 13.73,
        "upward_expansion": 8.1,
        "deceleration": 47.64,
        "rotation_down": 67.13,
        "downward_expansion": 81.43
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        18.701652
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 16.49,
    "trend_reference": 20.160008,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.182044,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 16.965915,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.028051,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -31.758897,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.284288,
    "excess_performance": -0.291688,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.182044,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.105747,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.028051,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.23085,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.317589,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.028415,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.284288,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.10094,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 21041937,
      "relative_activity": 1.1625,
      "balance": 2.10094,
      "dry_up": 1.322291,
      "accumulation_observations": 6,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.130189,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.498222,
      "from_high_reference": -0.58775,
      "from_low_reference": 0.198401
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 20.160008,
      "fair_value_reference": 16.965915,
      "structural_low": 13.76,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 14,
        "median_return": -0.032755,
        "positive_rate": 0.285714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": -0.026535,
        "regime_survival": 0.857143,
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        "worst_return": -0.19921,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
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        "positive_rate": 0.2,
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        "regime_survival": 0.8,
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        "worst_return": -0.298949,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
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        "worst_return": 0.00395,
        "sufficient": false
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    ],
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        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "fair_value": 16.94837,
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        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 15.68,
        "volume": 21980334,
        "typical_volume": 18557155.0,
        "trend": 20.392008,
        "fair_value": 16.958324,
        "relative_strength": -32.925156,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 54.628265,
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          15.766667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 16.49,
        "volume": 21041937,
        "typical_volume": 18100587.25,
        "trend": 20.160008,
        "fair_value": 16.965915,
        "relative_strength": -31.758897,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}