{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2b7595e6-485d-41a1-8dd5-b55f0fcd5540", "symbol": "QSR", "name": "Restaurant Brands International Inc.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 70.903, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 11.79, "architecture_energy": 10.453, "architecture_maturity": 21.113, "architecture_confidence": 75.118, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 60.15, "rotation_up": 25.42, "upward_expansion": 44.36, "deceleration": 81.12, "rotation_down": 31.55, "downward_expansion": 31.36 }, "activity_lines": [ 103.588667, 104.216374, 104.429989, 103.639546 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 103.050003, "trend_reference": 101.574818, "distance_from_trend": 0.014523, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 92.601496, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.112833, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -5.86834, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.073517, "excess_performance": -0.046904, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.014523, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.028096, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.112833, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.065258, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.058683, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.073973, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.073517, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.587996, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3016700, "relative_activity": 0.78885, "balance": 0.587996, "dry_up": 0.81783, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.037314, "annualized_volatility": 0.206143, "from_high_reference": -0.068443, "from_low_reference": 0.249118 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 101.574818, "fair_value_reference": 92.601496, "structural_low": 88.300759, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.00174, "positive_rate": 0.466667, "directional_follow_through": 0.466667, "median_excess_return": -0.031427, "regime_survival": 0.533333, "best_return": 0.091067, "worst_return": -0.081078, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.006264, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.056833, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.094107, "worst_return": -0.103522, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.004638, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.125445, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.104688, "worst_return": -0.108825, "sufficient": true 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"modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.210762, "energy": 42.872359, "activity_lines": [ 105.772445, 104.626283, 104.701353, 102.931093 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 105.18, "volume": 3868500, "typical_volume": 4606565.0, "trend": 100.667583, "fair_value": 92.361543, "relative_strength": -1.630984, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.050053, "energy": 37.397464, "activity_lines": [ 105.730469, 104.774931, 104.829476, 103.244197 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 102.309998, "volume": 2724400, "typical_volume": 4417760.0, "trend": 100.933003, "fair_value": 92.423302, "relative_strength": -4.307425, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.893339, "energy": 19.142504, "activity_lines": [ 104.646, 104.450604, 104.645332, 103.350159 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 103.68, "volume": 2900500, "typical_volume": 4327850.0, "trend": 101.311495, "fair_value": 92.513922, "relative_strength": -2.360979, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 22.253915, "energy": 11.282979, "activity_lines": [ 104.164666, 104.395315, 104.57919, 103.527385 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 103.050003, "volume": 3016700, "typical_volume": 3824175.0, "trend": 101.574818, "fair_value": 92.601496, "relative_strength": -5.86834, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 11.790209, "energy": 10.452947, "activity_lines": [ 103.588667, 104.216374, 104.429989, 103.639546 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }