{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "2b77331c-96ff-4224-8804-1ab067ba32de",
    "symbol": "MVEW",
    "name": "iShares Edge MSCI World Minimum Volatility Advanced UCITS ETF USD (Acc)",
    "exchange": "EBS",
    "country": "CH",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SSMI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 73.025,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 93.594,
    "architecture_energy": 96.795,
    "architecture_maturity": 16.092,
    "architecture_confidence": 63.982,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 7.3,
        "rotation_up": 89.83,
        "upward_expansion": 99.81,
        "deceleration": 39.06,
        "rotation_down": 8.17,
        "downward_expansion": 21.81
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        6.8124,
        6.709545,
        6.573943,
        6.510953
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 6.939,
    "trend_reference": 6.448,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.076148,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 6.26884,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.106903,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -2.658705,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.095343,
    "excess_performance": 0.01246,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.076148,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.010373,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.106903,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.095896,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.026587,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.028654,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.095343,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 4512.5,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 4512.5,
      "dry_up": 1.792368,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.013912,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.070293,
      "from_high_reference": -0.005161,
      "from_low_reference": 0.114162
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 6.448,
      "fair_value_reference": 6.26884,
      "structural_low": 6.245,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 17,
        "median_return": 0.006694,
        "positive_rate": 0.764706,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.764706,
        "median_excess_return": 0.004256,
        "regime_survival": 0.764706,
        "best_return": 0.04033,
        "worst_return": -0.016045,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.032648,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.032309,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.0617,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.045812,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.005731,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
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        "worst_return": -0.07436,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "median_excess_return": -0.021349,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.093568,
        "sufficient": false
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        "end": "2025-05-30",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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      },
      {
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "color": "amber",
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        "direction": -54.666281,
        "energy": 36.584123,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.337333,
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          6.360029,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 6.253,
        "volume": 3507,
        "typical_volume": 461.4,
        "trend": 6.378233,
        "fair_value": 6.184923,
        "relative_strength": -5.524076,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -74.537127,
        "energy": 65.846193,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "volume": 2915,
        "typical_volume": 607.15,
        "trend": 6.3793,
        "fair_value": 6.189494,
        "relative_strength": -4.961752,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -56.014095,
        "energy": 56.73402,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 4650,
        "typical_volume": 837.85,
        "trend": 6.3809,
        "fair_value": 6.195308,
        "relative_strength": -5.599821,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -21.280409,
        "energy": 15.459359,
        "activity_lines": [
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          6.364998
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 6.36,
        "volume": 4,
        "typical_volume": 828.3,
        "trend": 6.3818,
        "fair_value": 6.200468,
        "relative_strength": -6.4278,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -32.159376,
        "energy": 14.450724,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 6.435,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 828.3,
        "trend": 6.3846,
        "fair_value": 6.205955,
        "relative_strength": -4.062186,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 23.249206,
        "energy": 23.428207,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.385,
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          6.356248,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 6.466,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 828.3,
        "trend": 6.387233,
        "fair_value": 6.211231,
        "relative_strength": -5.643201,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 32.729017,
        "energy": 35.756978,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 6.408,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 808.3,
        "trend": 6.387,
        "fair_value": 6.216506,
        "relative_strength": -6.672062,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 19.804171,
        "energy": 43.996101,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.4228,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 6.527,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 694.25,
        "trend": 6.3876,
        "fair_value": 6.222128,
        "relative_strength": -7.368275,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 52.822383,
        "energy": 65.310847,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.459667,
          6.418073,
          6.386533,
          6.382705
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 6.586,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 694.25,
        "trend": 6.391567,
        "fair_value": 6.228821,
        "relative_strength": -7.904527,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.88922,
        "energy": 85.793963,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.5086,
          6.454964,
          6.406348,
          6.395505
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 6.67,
        "volume": 1749,
        "typical_volume": 781.7,
        "trend": 6.400133,
        "fair_value": 6.236718,
        "relative_strength": -5.282029,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 91.168541,
        "energy": 93.64116,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.570467,
          6.502127,
          6.433233,
          6.413469
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 6.681,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 781.7,
        "trend": 6.408333,
        "fair_value": 6.243865,
        "relative_strength": -5.626955,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.045844,
        "energy": 93.835009,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.620333,
          6.545,
          6.459862,
          6.431589
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 6.749,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 781.7,
        "trend": 6.4199,
        "fair_value": 6.251462,
        "relative_strength": -4.343042,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 87.164928,
        "energy": 94.938773,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.678533,
          6.592455,
          6.491805,
          6.453568
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 6.803,
        "volume": 8736,
        "typical_volume": 1218.5,
        "trend": 6.432633,
        "fair_value": 6.25975,
        "relative_strength": -3.466629,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.221182,
        "energy": 94.088811,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.732,
          6.642182,
          6.52741,
          6.478284
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 6.939,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1218.5,
        "trend": 6.448,
        "fair_value": 6.26884,
        "relative_strength": -2.658705,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 93.593763,
        "energy": 96.795441,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.8124,
          6.709545,
          6.573943,
          6.510953
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}