{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2b7d4f1a-e62e-4b53-97bf-b4a2dcc33a19", "symbol": "GOOGL", "name": "Alphabet Inc.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 54.559, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 7.527, "architecture_energy": 14.3, "architecture_maturity": 41.057, "architecture_confidence": 73.227, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 59.21, "rotation_up": 18.06, "upward_expansion": 40.9, "deceleration": 83.05, "rotation_down": 35.21, "downward_expansion": 32.57 }, "activity_lines": [ 6023.614518, 6079.946052, 6207.713645, 6086.393546 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 6090.279785, "trend_reference": 5930.115061, "distance_from_trend": 0.027009, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 3850.735498, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.581589, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 8.423865, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.089698, "excess_performance": 0.144365, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.027009, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.032603, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.581589, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.38378, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.084239, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.224728, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.089698, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.157716, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 43343, "relative_activity": 1.533891, "balance": 0.157716, "dry_up": 1.870393, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.068623, "annualized_volatility": 0.367738, "from_high_reference": -0.1361, "from_low_reference": 0.647738 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5930.115061, "fair_value_reference": 3850.735498, "structural_low": 4932.009766, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.028506, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.024072, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.16449, "worst_return": -0.092143, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.127586, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.079753, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.230265, "worst_return": -0.072742, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.146454, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.070728, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.508231, "worst_return": -0.255202, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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6248.712698, 6241.847299, 6077.696144 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5593.669922, "volume": 48629, "typical_volume": 25037.75, "trend": 5905.606939, "fair_value": 3800.174862, "relative_strength": 1.725221, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -13.46372, "energy": 19.302435, "activity_lines": [ 5959.20791, 6108.108292, 6197.912896, 6057.540768 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6186.609863, "volume": 42990, "typical_volume": 26534.4, "trend": 5924.064654, "fair_value": 3825.809905, "relative_strength": 10.813416, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 6.191593, "energy": 14.757716, "activity_lines": [ 6015.663216, 6098.754693, 6209.239964, 6075.669989 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6090.279785, "volume": 43343, "typical_volume": 28256.9, "trend": 5930.115061, "fair_value": 3850.735498, "relative_strength": 8.423865, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 7.526908, "energy": 14.30037, "activity_lines": [ 6023.614518, 6079.946052, 6207.713645, 6086.393546 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }