{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2b8ac980-2510-400f-9dc6-de9539094b78", "symbol": "UTIAMC", "name": "UTI Asset Management Company Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -59.842, "architecture_energy": 54.256, "architecture_maturity": 73.351, "architecture_confidence": 95.829, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.61, "rotation_up": 18.3, "upward_expansion": 12.88, "deceleration": 37.65, "rotation_down": 57.72, "downward_expansion": 81.55 }, "activity_lines": [ 905.538151, 913.752043, 926.406988, 938.9022 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 896.650024, "trend_reference": 960.918848, "distance_from_trend": -0.066883, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1016.413125, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.117829, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -16.23441, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.156253, "excess_performance": -0.112544, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.066883, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.072136, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.117829, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.097442, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.162344, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.032737, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.156253, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.434223, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 979827, "relative_activity": 1.023568, "balance": 0.434223, "dry_up": 1.718986, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.044401, "annualized_volatility": 0.271156, "from_high_reference": -0.367666, "from_low_reference": 0.023573 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 960.918848, "fair_value_reference": 1016.413125, "structural_low": 876.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.009519, "positive_rate": 0.578947, "directional_follow_through": 0.421053, "median_excess_return": -0.007277, "regime_survival": 0.842105, "best_return": 0.157173, "worst_return": -0.109132, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.028567, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.030608, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.264959, "worst_return": -0.171958, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.081967, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.035493, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.415666, "worst_return": -0.194643, 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-15.699035, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.914439, "energy": 33.379797, "activity_lines": [ 915.163599, 918.015047, 930.479441, 943.443092 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 896.650024, "volume": 979827, "typical_volume": 957266.2, "trend": 960.918848, "fair_value": 1016.413125, "relative_strength": -16.23441, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.842419, "energy": 54.256498, "activity_lines": [ 905.538151, 913.752043, 926.406988, 938.9022 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }