{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2b968e33-9e6e-4a8e-ad88-5c0049debe78", "symbol": "IBR", "name": "Iron Bear Resources Ltd", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 50.328, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 22.197, "architecture_energy": 17.753, "architecture_maturity": 75.028, "architecture_confidence": 78.377, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.19, "rotation_up": 23.2, "upward_expansion": 58.07, "deceleration": 88.31, "rotation_down": 32.24, "downward_expansion": 21.74 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.065, 0.067782, 0.06471, 0.060546 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 0.056, "trend_reference": 0.055883, "distance_from_trend": 0.002088, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.040173, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.393985, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -6.429677, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.142857, "excess_performance": 0.079151, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.002088, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.091471, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.393985, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.074525, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.064297, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.048601, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.142857, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.373798, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8789657, "relative_activity": 1.059672, "balance": 1.373798, "dry_up": 0.884214, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.160027, "annualized_volatility": 0.635284, "from_high_reference": -0.317073, "from_low_reference": 0.4 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.055883, "fair_value_reference": 0.040173, "structural_low": 0.04, "invalidation": "A 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"fair_value": 0.039185, "relative_strength": 34.282036, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.470089, "energy": 87.464149, "activity_lines": [ 0.073167, 0.068564, 0.061629, 0.057723 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.072, "volume": 5801873, "typical_volume": 7727315.25, "trend": 0.05485, "fair_value": 0.039519, "relative_strength": 25.160098, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.702025, "energy": 77.072645, "activity_lines": [ 0.073667, 0.069827, 0.063164, 0.058866 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.07, "volume": 4398984, "typical_volume": 7753745.5, "trend": 0.055317, "fair_value": 0.039775, "relative_strength": 22.098166, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.581945, "energy": 53.626577, "activity_lines": [ 0.0725, 0.0704, 0.064376, 0.059843 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.066, "volume": 10346647, "typical_volume": 8086304.75, "trend": 0.055783, "fair_value": 0.039942, "relative_strength": 13.009704, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.325446, "energy": 42.689565, "activity_lines": [ 0.0702, 0.070009, 0.065079, 0.060532 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.056, "volume": 8789657, "typical_volume": 8294697.95, "trend": 0.055883, "fair_value": 0.040173, "relative_strength": -6.429677, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 22.19734, "energy": 17.752778, "activity_lines": [ 0.065, 0.067782, 0.06471, 0.060546 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }