{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "2b96b4bf-2747-431c-a6df-2fab958575b2",
    "symbol": "AP2",
    "name": "Applied Materials, Inc.",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 36.722,
    "architecture_energy": 27.578,
    "architecture_maturity": 75.752,
    "architecture_confidence": 90.147,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 37.88,
        "rotation_up": 23.6,
        "upward_expansion": 57.95,
        "deceleration": 91.17,
        "rotation_down": 30.85,
        "downward_expansion": 21.61
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        467.553331,
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        458.228835,
        423.11172
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 466.600006,
    "trend_reference": 377.995776,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.234405,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 206.342603,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 1.261288,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 45.724201,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.716992,
    "excess_performance": 0.652353,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.234405,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.324093,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.261288,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.193618,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.457242,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.204066,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.716992,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.573897,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 22813,
      "relative_activity": 2.078718,
      "balance": 0.573897,
      "dry_up": 2.393492,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.118552,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.486599,
      "from_high_reference": -0.195795,
      "from_low_reference": 2.535677
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 377.995776,
      "fair_value_reference": 206.342603,
      "structural_low": 266.021078,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.047884,
        "positive_rate": 0.833333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.833333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.015894,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.06827,
        "worst_return": -0.009542,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.03685,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.048039,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.375338,
        "worst_return": -0.105277,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.46296,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.071736,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.39567,
        "sufficient": false
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      },
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "end": "2024-08-09",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "New",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 8435.95,
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        "fair_value": 199.907578,
        "relative_strength": 63.064695,
        "stage": 2,
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        "energy": 65.759053,
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          516.933329,
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          441.071194,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 480.299988,
        "volume": 15633,
        "typical_volume": 8684.8,
        "trend": 363.517411,
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        "relative_strength": 62.994799,
        "stage": 2,
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        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 54.484751,
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          500.546659,
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          449.144028,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 446.2,
        "volume": 35226,
        "typical_volume": 10073.45,
        "trend": 370.852816,
        "fair_value": 204.148139,
        "relative_strength": 45.69965,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 42.890714,
        "energy": 30.81097,
        "activity_lines": [
          476.819995,
          493.693632,
          453.065562,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 466.600006,
        "volume": 22813,
        "typical_volume": 10974.55,
        "trend": 377.995776,
        "fair_value": 206.342603,
        "relative_strength": 45.724201,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 36.722215,
        "energy": 27.577839,
        "activity_lines": [
          467.553331,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}