{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "2b99c525-a76a-4b04-bbcb-e6bb713af621",
    "symbol": "NAGE",
    "name": "Niagen Bioscience, Inc.",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -72.403,
    "architecture_energy": 57.455,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 95.948,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 11.99,
        "rotation_up": 26.68,
        "upward_expansion": 8.93,
        "deceleration": 55.44,
        "rotation_down": 57.81,
        "downward_expansion": 84.6
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        3.252,
        3.317455,
        3.564095,
        3.855161
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 3.12,
    "trend_reference": 4.321,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.277945,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 5.018558,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.378307,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -53.954018,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.4,
    "excess_performance": -0.587454,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.277945,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.200999,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.378307,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.235738,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.53954,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.02421,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.4,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.529069,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 5712798,
      "relative_activity": 1.44975,
      "balance": 0.529069,
      "dry_up": 1.031781,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.118047,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.417,
      "from_high_reference": -0.703422,
      "from_low_reference": 0.087108
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 4.321,
      "fair_value_reference": 5.018558,
      "structural_low": 2.87,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 31,
        "median_return": -0.052288,
        "positive_rate": 0.225806,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.741935,
        "median_excess_return": -0.076228,
        "regime_survival": 0.903226,
        "best_return": 0.260163,
        "worst_return": -0.331719,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": -0.230236,
        "positive_rate": 0.3,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.7,
        "median_excess_return": -0.209537,
        "regime_survival": 0.7,
        "best_return": 0.241135,
        "worst_return": -0.462299,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.134264,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.189339,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 1.554054,
        "worst_return": -0.684796,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.106383,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.181989,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 1.628788,
        "worst_return": -0.825711,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-05-05",
        "end": "2023-06-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.235294,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2023-06-23",
        "end": "2023-09-22",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.164634,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2023-10-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.116438,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-10-27",
        "end": "2023-12-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.083333,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-02-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.109589,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-02-23",
        "end": "2024-03-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.059211,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.918605,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-05-24",
        "end": "2024-08-30",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.105769,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.657658,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.397459,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "return": 0.296556,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
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        "active": true
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      {
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        "typical_volume": 5056706.8,
        "trend": 4.643667,
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        "stage": 4,
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        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 60.554806,
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          3.372667,
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          3.776952,
          4.105312
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 3.21,
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        "typical_volume": 4390135.05,
        "trend": 4.529333,
        "fair_value": 4.997468,
        "relative_strength": -52.300449,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -71.67638,
        "energy": 58.943642,
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          3.308,
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          3.694762,
          4.012817
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 3.4,
        "volume": 2966935,
        "typical_volume": 4091822.45,
        "trend": 4.434333,
        "fair_value": 5.00875,
        "relative_strength": -48.603632,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -63.039871,
        "energy": 52.357747,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.326,
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          3.639476,
          3.939957
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 3.12,
        "volume": 5712798,
        "typical_volume": 3940540.6,
        "trend": 4.321,
        "fair_value": 5.018558,
        "relative_strength": -53.954018,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -72.403329,
        "energy": 57.455046,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.252,
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          3.855161
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}