{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2b9a7b76-9142-40c3-913c-55fccb60d9ae", "symbol": "601866", "name": "COSCO SHIPPING Development Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -40.334, "architecture_energy": 27.447, "architecture_maturity": 73.262, "architecture_confidence": 80.033, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.18, "rotation_up": 27.61, "upward_expansion": 17.42, "deceleration": 46.93, "rotation_down": 26.18, "downward_expansion": 62.75 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.404865, 2.373129, 2.44749, 2.522911 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 2.39, "trend_reference": 2.592969, "distance_from_trend": -0.078277, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.445135, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.022549, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -6.70827, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.101504, "excess_performance": -0.0583, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.078277, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.025444, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.022549, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.145946, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.067083, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.034831, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.101504, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.698018, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 317361723, "relative_activity": 0.770007, "balance": 0.698018, "dry_up": 0.881315, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.049427, "annualized_volatility": 0.260746, "from_high_reference": -0.264615, "from_low_reference": 0.068712 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.592969, "fair_value_reference": 2.445135, "structural_low": 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.514993, "energy": 83.739173, "activity_lines": [ 2.316143, 2.362018, 2.49147, 2.557347 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.405304, "volume": 418312975, "typical_volume": 472100064.3, "trend": 2.599302, "fair_value": 2.44387, "relative_strength": -3.453255, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.290509, "energy": 56.64382, "activity_lines": [ 2.346993, 2.359277, 2.473052, 2.544627 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.47, "volume": 351581603, "typical_volume": 437611153.85, "trend": 2.597302, "fair_value": 2.444788, "relative_strength": -1.111626, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.104737, "energy": 35.484071, "activity_lines": [ 2.396389, 2.372203, 2.463152, 2.536285 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.39, "volume": 317361723, "typical_volume": 412154328.05, "trend": 2.592969, "fair_value": 2.445135, "relative_strength": -6.70827, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.334028, "energy": 27.447186, "activity_lines": [ 2.404865, 2.373129, 2.44749, 2.522911 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }