{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "2ba1629c-8723-4480-a8a1-6a83d20f15c1",
    "symbol": "TEG",
    "name": "TAG Immobilien AG",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 56.704,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -51.182,
    "architecture_energy": 45.965,
    "architecture_maturity": 5.988,
    "architecture_confidence": 95.205,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 36.65,
        "rotation_up": 16.07,
        "upward_expansion": 11.3,
        "deceleration": 37.91,
        "rotation_down": 55.83,
        "downward_expansion": 79.97
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        13.51,
        13.607091,
        13.76732,
        13.877227
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 13.69,
    "trend_reference": 14.038796,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.024845,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 13.162207,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.040099,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -20.737672,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.032677,
    "excess_performance": -0.206924,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.024845,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.005658,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.040099,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.072488,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.207377,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.051871,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.032677,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.635535,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 250,
      "relative_activity": 2.321263,
      "balance": 0.635535,
      "dry_up": 2.785515,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.04559,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.365806,
      "from_high_reference": -0.158724,
      "from_low_reference": 0.158399
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 14.038796,
      "fair_value_reference": 13.162207,
      "structural_low": 11.818032,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 22,
        "median_return": -0.063085,
        "positive_rate": 0.363636,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.636364,
        "median_excess_return": -0.075014,
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        "worst_return": -0.288902,
        "sufficient": true
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        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "energy": 32.320883,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.60443,
          14.189244,
          14.23824,
          14.093282
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 14.152459,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 200.2,
        "trend": 13.9991,
        "fair_value": 12.720311,
        "relative_strength": -15.550548,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 38.942757,
        "energy": 27.773302,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.486412,
          14.180755,
          14.249032,
          14.102549
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 13.860656,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 200.2,
        "trend": 13.975107,
        "fair_value": 12.763098,
        "relative_strength": -16.570981,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 25.636283,
        "energy": 12.133745,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.246485,
          14.157057,
          14.225364,
          14.093617
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 14.12,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 200.2,
        "trend": 13.952951,
        "fair_value": 12.807826,
        "relative_strength": -16.303128,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 18.218026,
        "energy": 9.906469,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.129967,
          14.200143,
          14.220558,
          14.102965
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 14.29,
        "volume": 66,
        "typical_volume": 200.6,
        "trend": 13.959805,
        "fair_value": 12.851171,
        "relative_strength": -17.041465,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 28.278467,
        "energy": 14.109623,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.147501,
          14.25722,
          14.225336,
          14.12471
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 13.13,
        "volume": 748,
        "typical_volume": 238.0,
        "trend": 13.954579,
        "fair_value": 12.883456,
        "relative_strength": -22.380398,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -23.749126,
        "energy": 18.838917,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.802918,
          14.070469,
          14.117222,
          14.071174
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 13.28,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 222.6,
        "trend": 13.941708,
        "fair_value": 12.91686,
        "relative_strength": -23.10813,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -22.818011,
        "energy": 36.93859,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.59271,
          13.901638,
          14.027893,
          14.027653
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 13.55,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 222.6,
        "trend": 13.934596,
        "fair_value": 12.955002,
        "relative_strength": -24.068869,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -25.305231,
        "energy": 44.150344,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.530667,
          13.791041,
          13.966347,
          14.002382
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 14.1,
        "volume": 71,
        "typical_volume": 226.15,
        "trend": 13.927335,
        "fair_value": 12.992971,
        "relative_strength": -18.867252,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -18.569224,
        "energy": 37.482485,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.672667,
          13.796173,
          13.958894,
          14.013053
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 14.45,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 188.0,
        "trend": 13.954437,
        "fair_value": 13.032796,
        "relative_strength": -18.287721,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 11.877504,
        "energy": 9.236681,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.932667,
          13.886409,
          13.985024,
          14.046773
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 13.66,
        "volume": 69,
        "typical_volume": 191.45,
        "trend": 13.979198,
        "fair_value": 13.062975,
        "relative_strength": -21.206236,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -9.998988,
        "energy": 8.234708,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.918667,
          13.836796,
          13.939825,
          14.027777
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 13.21,
        "volume": 250,
        "typical_volume": 203.95,
        "trend": 13.994472,
        "fair_value": 13.087264,
        "relative_strength": -21.764017,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -51.655626,
        "energy": 21.98139,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.719333,
          13.718739,
          13.861804,
          13.978152
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 13.04,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 165.8,
        "trend": 14.007969,
        "fair_value": 13.109607,
        "relative_strength": -23.300153,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -66.032026,
        "energy": 48.734558,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.468,
          13.586909,
          13.781991,
          13.916573
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 13.75,
        "volume": 700,
        "typical_volume": 95.2,
        "trend": 14.041891,
        "fair_value": 13.137515,
        "relative_strength": -18.599082,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -51.143749,
        "energy": 50.545372,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.487333,
          13.599091,
          13.778847,
          13.89993
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 13.69,
        "volume": 250,
        "typical_volume": 107.7,
        "trend": 14.038796,
        "fair_value": 13.162207,
        "relative_strength": -20.737672,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -51.181896,
        "energy": 45.96471,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.51,
          13.607091,
          13.76732,
          13.877227
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}