{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2ba42ac5-09ee-46b8-9312-10f38d5378ce", "symbol": "CSB", "name": "VICTORYSHARES US SMALL CAP HIGH DIV VOLATILITY WTD ETF", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 87.043, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 72.088, "architecture_energy": 67.682, "architecture_maturity": 20.889, "architecture_confidence": 68.492, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.14, "rotation_up": 72.5, "upward_expansion": 88.45, "deceleration": 47.13, "rotation_down": 13.83, "downward_expansion": 12.79 }, "activity_lines": [ 66.88902, 66.308045, 65.266435, 64.4621 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 67.3805, "trend_reference": 63.499761, "distance_from_trend": 0.061114, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 55.100744, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.22286, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -3.322931, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.064905, "excess_performance": -0.122549, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.061114, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.042052, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.22286, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.028741, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.033229, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.053901, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.064905, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.147345, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 32284, "relative_activity": 0.781231, "balance": 1.147345, "dry_up": 1.184236, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.023831, "annualized_volatility": 0.127067, "from_high_reference": -0.008076, "from_low_reference": 0.235304 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 63.499761, "fair_value_reference": 55.100744, "structural_low": 59.079775, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": -0.002576, "positive_rate": 0.458333, "directional_follow_through": 0.458333, "median_excess_return": -0.021871, "regime_survival": 0.708333, "best_return": 0.056258, "worst_return": -0.118504, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.008195, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.078334, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.062776, "worst_return": -0.07182, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.006539, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.092036, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.055379, "worst_return": -0.148779, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 66.787946, "volume": 28310, "typical_volume": 37960.75, "trend": 62.976516, "fair_value": 54.862042, "relative_strength": 1.203958, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.801385, "energy": 77.540051, "activity_lines": [ 66.498271, 65.663199, 64.688251, 63.971927 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 66.44111, "volume": 113771, "typical_volume": 41217.5, "trend": 63.24741, "fair_value": 54.978016, "relative_strength": 0.139875, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.495282, "energy": 68.755925, "activity_lines": [ 66.55443, 65.922946, 64.94758, 64.195449 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 67.3805, "volume": 32284, "typical_volume": 41324.55, "trend": 63.499761, "fair_value": 55.100744, "relative_strength": -3.322931, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.088055, "energy": 67.681926, "activity_lines": [ 66.88902, 66.308045, 65.266435, 64.4621 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }