{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2ba75cfa-e045-4dbf-bc70-cad81377dfc8", "symbol": "XPEJ", "name": "Xtrackers MSCI Pacific ex Japan Screened UCITS ETF 1D", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 65.951, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 48.479, "architecture_energy": 67.004, "architecture_maturity": 5.565, "architecture_confidence": 77.167, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.42, "rotation_up": 75.2, "upward_expansion": 54.8, "deceleration": 18.22, "rotation_down": 16.78, "downward_expansion": 29.8 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.013133, 8.879182, 8.817821, 8.823268 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 9.2205, "trend_reference": 8.82712, "distance_from_trend": 0.044565, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 7.980737, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.155344, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -2.095869, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.046833, "excess_performance": -0.004402, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.044565, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.016195, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs 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"close": 8.635, "volume": 767, "typical_volume": 42510.25, "trend": 8.730979, "fair_value": 7.939892, "relative_strength": -6.995655, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -28.663026, "energy": 25.044336, "activity_lines": [ 8.6497, 8.672645, 8.744921, 8.767647 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 8.7435, "volume": 22243, "typical_volume": 43067.25, "trend": 8.746734, "fair_value": 7.946703, "relative_strength": -4.076758, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -12.634415, "energy": 12.510721, "activity_lines": [ 8.6873, 8.679282, 8.737767, 8.768455 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 8.7945, "volume": 18987, "typical_volume": 42778.35, "trend": 8.761955, "fair_value": 7.953827, "relative_strength": -4.308789, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -2.681026, "energy": 5.134302, "activity_lines": [ 8.724767, 8.696409, 8.737724, 8.771537 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 8.934, "volume": 30206, "typical_volume": 37145.85, "trend": 8.77969, "fair_value": 7.961995, "relative_strength": -3.907997, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 23.411695, "energy": 21.19232, "activity_lines": [ 8.799733, 8.739773, 8.753743, 8.782637 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.99, "volume": 11708, "typical_volume": 36694.05, "trend": 8.801017, "fair_value": 7.970491, "relative_strength": -4.359268, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 30.279958, "energy": 33.012781, "activity_lines": [ 8.879433, 8.791027, 8.775305, 8.796205 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.2205, "volume": 68783, "typical_volume": 36872.25, "trend": 8.82712, "fair_value": 7.980737, "relative_strength": -2.095869, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 48.479256, "energy": 67.003551, "activity_lines": [ 9.013133, 8.879182, 8.817821, 8.823268 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }