{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2bcb0da7-7b15-44f4-980b-167c73f02d75", "symbol": "301083", "name": "JiangXi BaiSheng Intelligent Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.064, "architecture_energy": 60.51, "architecture_maturity": 77.526, "architecture_confidence": 93.397, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.21, "rotation_up": 25.06, "upward_expansion": 11.09, "deceleration": 60.51, "rotation_down": 54.03, "downward_expansion": 82.09 }, "activity_lines": [ 12.811333, 13.043772, 14.18989, 15.256251 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 13.52, "trend_reference": 16.751832, "distance_from_trend": -0.192924, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 15.684897, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.138024, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -25.384248, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.305955, "excess_performance": -0.313355, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.192924, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.116567, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.138024, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.251002, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.253842, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.073449, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.305955, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.275393, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 11325835, "relative_activity": 1.191141, "balance": 0.275393, "dry_up": 1.244576, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.088924, "annualized_volatility": 0.341561, "from_high_reference": -0.493253, "from_low_reference": 0.221319 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 16.751832, "fair_value_reference": 15.684897, "structural_low": 11.07, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.037928, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.018635, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 0.540459, "worst_return": -0.141375, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.026508, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.056531, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.402597, "worst_return": -0.302585, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.048278, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.115553, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.08382, "worst_return": -0.180376, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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"typical_volume": 9572258.0, "trend": 17.136165, "fair_value": 15.777984, "relative_strength": -32.732835, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.912614, "energy": 71.135512, "activity_lines": [ 12.691869, 13.291796, 14.678175, 15.770294 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.58, "volume": 10260206, "typical_volume": 9483677.15, "trend": 16.931499, "fair_value": 15.722558, "relative_strength": -27.450165, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.846813, "energy": 65.425863, "activity_lines": [ 12.576, 13.043933, 14.373485, 15.476347 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.52, "volume": 11325835, "typical_volume": 9508392.25, "trend": 16.751832, "fair_value": 15.684897, "relative_strength": -25.384248, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.063585, "energy": 60.509501, "activity_lines": [ 12.811333, 13.043772, 14.18989, 15.256251 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }