{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2bccb284-5aad-4967-ba74-f37601de7ef0", "symbol": "JOJO", "name": "TIDAL ETF TRUST ATAC CR ROTATION ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "model_version": "ta-0.1.0", "as_of_week": "2026-07-31", "benchmark": "SPY", "history_weeks": 264, "chart_window_weeks": 156, "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "stage_color": "amber", "phase": "3c", "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch", "stage_age_weeks": 16, "hard_stage_exit": false, "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch", "transition_score": 65.936, "is_transition_watch": true, "confidence": 55.75, "composite_score": 76.893, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_color": "red", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -84.275, "architecture_energy": 85.547, "architecture_maturity": 4.384, "architecture_confidence": 74.195, "architecture_age_weeks": 1, "is_reacceleration_watch": false, "architecture": { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -84.275, "energy": 85.547, "maturity": 4.384, "confidence": 74.195, "confirmation": 86.841, "age_weeks": 1, "candidate": null, "candidate_weeks": 0, "hard_reversal": false, "reacceleration_watch": false, "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Activity Lines are bearishly ordered below the 30-week Trend Line, their slopes are negative and price is accepted below the fan. Repair requires contraction and an upward fast/slow rotation\u2014not merely one strong week." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.18, "rotation_up": 10.77, "upward_expansion": 20.6, "deceleration": 34.19, "rotation_down": 83.29, "downward_expansion": 93.93 }, "activity_lines": { "5": 15.150627, "10": 15.295003, "20": 15.379529, "30": 15.414445 }, "activity_slopes": { "5": -2.218378, "10": -1.271204, "20": -0.663533, "30": -0.429509 }, "bullish_order": 0.0, "bearish_order": 1.0, "fan_width_atr": 1.531422, "fan_width_change_4": 1.222833, "fan_width_percentile": 0.634615, "fast_slow_gap_atr": -1.011041, "fast_slow_gap_change_4": -1.19827, "price_acceptance": -0.666667, "current_fan_distance_atr": -0.966081, "accepted_above": 0.166667, "accepted_below": 0.833333, "crossing_density": 0.5 }, "interpretation": { "headline": "The advance is losing directional efficiency near the upper range.", "body": "Stage 3 is a distribution diagnosis only when a flatter trend, weakening relative strength and supply evidence cluster. It can resolve back upward or break into Stage 4.", "phase": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch", "transition": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch", "transition_context": "The evidence score for the next canonical transition is 66/100." }, "latest_close": 14.9842, "sma_30": 15.444489, "distance_from_sma_30": -0.029803, "sma_30_slope": 0.00613, "fair_value": 13.956796, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.073613, "fair_value_gap_change_13": -0.053528, "is_fair_value_repair": false, "mansfield_rs": -9.743708, "mansfield_rs_change_13": -3.363258, "range_position_52": 0.306598, "returns": { "13": -0.032529, "26": -0.023562, "52": 0.011718 }, "relative_returns": { "26": -0.108883, "52": -0.203117 }, "stage_scores": { "1": 49.84, "2": 27.59, "3": 67.85, "4": 72.41 }, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs 30-week average", "positive": false, "value": -0.029803, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "30-week slope", "positive": true, "value": 0.00613, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.073613, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "13-week Fair Value gap", "positive": false, "value": -0.053528, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Mansfield RS vs SPY", "positive": false, "value": -0.097437, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "13-week RS change", "positive": false, "value": -0.033633, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "26-week price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.023562, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "13-week volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.681884, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 15101, "ratio_20": 0.594477, "up_down_ratio_13": 0.681884, "dry_up_ratio": 2.290357, "accumulation_weeks": 1, "distribution_weeks": 3 }, "base": { "high_26": 15.958522, "low_26": 14.95, "depth": 0.063196, "compression": 0.751619, "breakout_distance": -0.061053 }, "risk": { "atr_percent": 0.011497, "annualized_volatility": 0.072949, "drawdown_from_52_high": -0.061053, "advance_from_52_low": 0.029602 }, "levels": { "breakout_reference": 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width, fast/slow rotation and six-week price acceptance. Ordinary regime changes require two completed observations; a fully aligned reversal beyond the fan can change immediately.", "architecture_boundary": "The green/red/orange Trend gate is derived from the same Activity Lines and is therefore not counted as an independent vote. Relative strength and volume alter confirmation, while point-in-time Fair Value supplies context rather than determining the regime.", "admissibility": "Stage 2 cannot persist when price is more than 5% below the 30-week average or 8% below current Fair Value, the ten-week average slope is below -2%, Mansfield RS is below -8, or the 26-week return is below -15%. Stage 4 requires price no more than 5% above the average, RS no higher than +8, and at least one deterioration test: slope at or below +1.5%, 13-week return at or below -10%, or 26-week return at or below -12%. 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