{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2bccef6b-30fc-4813-9968-e725d262d74b", "symbol": "600985", "name": "Huaibei Mining Holdings Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 67.41, "architecture_energy": 40.25, "architecture_maturity": 21.554, "architecture_confidence": 76.741, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.1, "rotation_up": 53.05, "upward_expansion": 72.68, "deceleration": 61.37, "rotation_down": 18.94, "downward_expansion": 6.34 }, "activity_lines": [ 15.288667, 15.020725, 14.721425, 14.395102 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 16.52, "trend_reference": 13.830944, "distance_from_trend": 0.194423, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 13.563953, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.217934, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 25.236209, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.315287, "excess_performance": 0.35849, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.194423, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.076789, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.217934, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.209836, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.252362, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.278868, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.315287, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.480719, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 148914401, "relative_activity": 1.495606, "balance": 1.480719, "dry_up": 1.300649, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.08722, "annualized_volatility": 0.417442, "from_high_reference": -0.030902, "from_low_reference": 0.499093 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.830944, "fair_value_reference": 13.563953, "structural_low": 11.8, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.002068, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.020847, "regime_survival": 0.4375, "best_return": 0.28396, "worst_return": -0.145161, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.016949, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.03023, "regime_survival": 0.125, "best_return": 0.257732, "worst_return": -0.13464, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.0478, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.036415, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.195286, "worst_return": -0.172043, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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105130980.6, "trend": 13.421277, "fair_value": 13.479249, "relative_strength": 13.687068, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 27.413537, "energy": 20.423863, "activity_lines": [ 14.252667, 14.659984, 14.36721, 14.028898 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 14.64, "volume": 139976355, "typical_volume": 103254118.95, "trend": 13.521944, "fair_value": 13.502805, "relative_strength": 15.285123, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 26.411986, "energy": 18.347571, "activity_lines": [ 14.334, 14.669812, 14.416075, 14.107525 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 15.11, "volume": 104620770, "typical_volume": 98217185.3, "trend": 13.650611, "fair_value": 13.528289, "relative_strength": 18.254444, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.697217, "energy": 16.948102, "activity_lines": [ 14.594667, 14.739342, 14.503798, 14.20998 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 16.52, "volume": 148914401, "typical_volume": 99567954.5, "trend": 13.830944, "fair_value": 13.563953, "relative_strength": 25.236209, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.409746, "energy": 40.250079, "activity_lines": [ 15.288667, 15.020725, 14.721425, 14.395102 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }