{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2bd9653d-f370-42d2-bd13-8d522d7ee3cf", "symbol": "CY5", "name": "Cygnus Metals Limited", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-21", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 67.318, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 21.528, "architecture_energy": 41.897, "architecture_maturity": 3.69, "architecture_confidence": 76.893, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.88, "rotation_up": 62.77, "upward_expansion": 45.33, "deceleration": 21.08, "rotation_down": 14.95, "downward_expansion": 27.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.145, 0.138636, 0.132262, 0.133366 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.145, "trend_reference": 0.142, "distance_from_trend": 0.021127, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.11491, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.261854, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -0.668407, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.171429, "excess_performance": -0.168951, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.021127, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.078919, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.261854, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.431057, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.006684, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.186693, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.171429, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.952214, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 26679294, "relative_activity": 2.135061, "balance": 3.952214, "dry_up": 1.654005, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.107427, "annualized_volatility": 0.657621, "from_high_reference": -0.431373, "from_low_reference": 0.835443 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.142, "fair_value_reference": 0.11491, "structural_low": 0.1, "invalidation": "Reclaiming 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10107430.0, "trend": 0.148833, "fair_value": 0.117026, "relative_strength": -1.050379, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -3.155887, "energy": 10.695789, "activity_lines": [ 0.133667, 0.129545, 0.126571, 0.133419 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.145, "volume": 28416218, "typical_volume": 11073065.15, "trend": 0.147167, "fair_value": 0.116032, "relative_strength": -1.302655, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 5.376865, "energy": 17.701403, "activity_lines": [ 0.138333, 0.132636, 0.128405, 0.133172 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 0.15, "volume": 13708372, "typical_volume": 11390436.45, "trend": 0.144833, "fair_value": 0.115327, "relative_strength": 2.937741, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 11.904653, "energy": 33.114207, "activity_lines": [ 0.143333, 0.136273, 0.130643, 0.133355 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-21", "close": 0.145, "volume": 26679294, "typical_volume": 12495799.8, "trend": 0.142, "fair_value": 0.11491, "relative_strength": -0.668407, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 21.527994, "energy": 41.896641, "activity_lines": [ 0.145, 0.138636, 0.132262, 0.133366 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }