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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 61.197, "architecture_energy": 54.306, "architecture_maturity": 16.526, "architecture_confidence": 83.702, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.59, "rotation_up": 65.57, "upward_expansion": 82.24, "deceleration": 52.6, "rotation_down": 13.51, "downward_expansion": 8.91 }, "activity_lines": [ 2244.550684, 2218.127794, 2148.172773, 2120.682191 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 2200.0, "trend_reference": 2082.190979, "distance_from_trend": 0.056579, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1934.554265, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.137213, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 12.928554, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.043082, "excess_performance": 0.097749, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.056579, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.06118, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.137213, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.135367, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.129286, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.138799, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.043082, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.46048, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3547, "relative_activity": 0.44312, "balance": 1.46048, "dry_up": 1.477213, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.049309, "annualized_volatility": 0.317928, "from_high_reference": -0.053356, "from_low_reference": 0.539817 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2082.190979, "fair_value_reference": 1934.554265, "structural_low": 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"Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.545007, "energy": 67.104219, "activity_lines": [ 2260.584684, 2212.733929, 2138.82584, 2112.656615 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2200.0, "volume": 3547, "typical_volume": 8004.6, "trend": 2082.190979, "fair_value": 1934.554265, "relative_strength": 12.928554, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.19745, "energy": 54.305669, "activity_lines": [ 2244.550684, 2218.127794, 2148.172773, 2120.682191 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }