{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2be3ebe0-1f55-4c6a-85ef-41a6ddd73800", "symbol": "LEVI", "name": "Levi Strauss & Co.", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 82.771, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 61.525, "architecture_energy": 51.128, "architecture_maturity": 59.885, "architecture_confidence": 58.325, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.13, "rotation_up": 52.58, "upward_expansion": 81.53, "deceleration": 66.85, "rotation_down": 25.6, "downward_expansion": 8.19 }, "activity_lines": [ 21.313849, 21.201163, 20.506917, 19.766002 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 21.129999, "trend_reference": 18.947712, "distance_from_trend": 0.115174, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 16.435642, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.285621, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -7.467507, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.233371, "excess_performance": 0.059124, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.115174, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.054515, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.285621, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.052645, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.074675, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.012594, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.233371, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.002169, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.002169, "dry_up": 0.00817, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.048767, "annualized_volatility": 0.376699, "from_high_reference": -0.062971, "from_low_reference": 0.381488 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 18.947712, "fair_value_reference": 16.435642, "structural_low": 15.295104, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": 0.010592, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.015519, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 0.175238, "worst_return": -0.196281, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.054445, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.0072, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.224966, "worst_return": -0.231912, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.101733, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.159169, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.462748, "worst_return": -0.211058, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"fair_value": 15.957396, "relative_strength": -5.030425, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.295194, "energy": 73.670778, "activity_lines": [ 19.820333, 19.470982, 18.641503, 18.355483 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 20.493782, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 33.35, "trend": 18.228325, "fair_value": 16.01092, "relative_strength": -9.958263, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.132451, "energy": 77.567308, "activity_lines": [ 20.16926, 19.686251, 18.866129, 18.508066 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 21.555687, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 33.35, "trend": 18.323093, "fair_value": 16.072474, "relative_strength": -3.443384, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.571268, "energy": 85.052519, "activity_lines": [ 20.716237, 20.070926, 19.173137, 18.722735 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 21.228184, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 33.35, "trend": 18.400543, "fair_value": 16.137931, "relative_strength": -7.073713, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.164186, "energy": 83.427398, "activity_lines": [ 20.980668, 20.355969, 19.427888, 18.91016 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 20.890755, "volume": 461, "typical_volume": 30.55, "trend": 18.490711, "fair_value": 16.200992, "relative_strength": -6.970657, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.136402, "energy": 79.788585, "activity_lines": [ 21.052076, 20.54124, 19.637427, 19.070819 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 21.188488, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 30.55, "trend": 18.591788, "fair_value": 16.263747, "relative_strength": -3.567651, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.118275, "energy": 70.471828, "activity_lines": [ 21.119678, 20.743357, 19.865578, 19.244869 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 21.690001, "volume": 1, "typical_volume": 30.6, "trend": 18.72255, "fair_value": 16.323423, "relative_strength": -2.49466, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.396603, "energy": 62.650778, "activity_lines": [ 21.325885, 21.003505, 20.129479, 19.444753 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 21.43, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 30.6, "trend": 18.858105, "fair_value": 16.380436, "relative_strength": -3.532178, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.312158, "energy": 54.981684, "activity_lines": [ 21.365677, 21.152107, 20.346181, 19.619428 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 21.129999, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 30.6, "trend": 18.947712, "fair_value": 16.435642, "relative_strength": -7.467507, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.525224, "energy": 51.12824, "activity_lines": [ 21.313849, 21.201163, 20.506917, 19.766002 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }