{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "2be7140c-4af4-4435-9563-1c94e0a7e1a5",
    "symbol": "CHUSDD",
    "name": "UBS MSCI Switzerland 20/35 UCITS ETF hUSD dis",
    "exchange": "EBS",
    "country": "CH",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SSMI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 83.737,
    "architecture_energy": 73.526,
    "architecture_maturity": 49.132,
    "architecture_confidence": 80.883,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 1.21,
        "rotation_up": 71.99,
        "upward_expansion": 90.0,
        "deceleration": 56.48,
        "rotation_down": 23.48,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        18.188668,
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        17.562,
        17.207338
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 18.346001,
    "trend_reference": 16.821867,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.090604,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 14.126676,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.298678,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 2.974687,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.119205,
    "excess_performance": 0.036321,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.090604,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.046418,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.298678,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.092119,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.029747,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.012876,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.119205,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.811195,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 1.811195,
      "dry_up": 0.662478,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.013979,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.133239,
      "from_high_reference": 0.0,
      "from_low_reference": 0.297087
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 16.821867,
      "fair_value_reference": 14.126676,
      "structural_low": 14.96,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 30,
        "median_return": 0.005755,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.00553,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.07419,
        "worst_return": -0.09714,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": 0.014706,
        "positive_rate": 0.545455,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.545455,
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        "regime_survival": 0.363636,
        "best_return": 0.12696,
        "worst_return": -0.050318,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.035357,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.037367,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.100407,
        "worst_return": -0.152256,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.146748,
        "sufficient": false
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    ],
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 9227.6,
        "trend": 16.538133,
        "fair_value": 13.966644,
        "relative_strength": 3.459157,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.869957,
        "energy": 91.396666,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 17.992001,
        "volume": 4333,
        "typical_volume": 9444.25,
        "trend": 16.608,
        "fair_value": 14.005675,
        "relative_strength": 2.748199,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.378338,
        "energy": 90.211657,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.967334,
          17.672,
          17.175924,
          16.910262
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 18.030001,
        "volume": 10764,
        "typical_volume": 9191.55,
        "trend": 16.6772,
        "fair_value": 14.0438,
        "relative_strength": 2.977031,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.101447,
        "energy": 89.313104,
        "activity_lines": [
          18.016934,
          17.784327,
          17.297495,
          17.002004
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 18.266001,
        "volume": 5662,
        "typical_volume": 9149.65,
        "trend": 16.752133,
        "fair_value": 14.084974,
        "relative_strength": 4.055772,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.575912,
        "energy": 77.955323,
        "activity_lines": [
          18.103067,
          17.913382,
          17.431867,
          17.104508
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 18.346001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 7833.85,
        "trend": 16.821867,
        "fair_value": 14.126676,
        "relative_strength": 2.974687,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.736906,
        "energy": 73.525628,
        "activity_lines": [
          18.188668,
          18.032837,
          17.562,
          17.207338
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}