{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2bf3d27a-4f3f-4915-a841-998ac6494d8f", "symbol": "APOLLO", "name": "Apollo Micro Systems Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 41.464, "architecture_energy": 30.642, "architecture_maturity": 70.6, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.69, "rotation_up": 29.17, "upward_expansion": 57.97, "deceleration": 90.48, "rotation_down": 27.49, "downward_expansion": 21.64 }, "activity_lines": [ 397.746663, 404.857268, 384.493662, 349.681739 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 403.850006, "trend_reference": 308.553998, "distance_from_trend": 0.308847, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 175.728551, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.298147, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 37.16124, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.67677, "excess_performance": 0.720479, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.308847, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.191042, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.298147, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.0826, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.371612, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.022653, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.67677, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.319035, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 22964892, "relative_activity": 0.362874, "balance": 2.319035, "dry_up": 0.453587, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.112208, "annualized_volatility": 0.640835, "from_high_reference": -0.134298, "from_low_reference": 1.32315 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 308.553998, "fair_value_reference": 175.728551, "structural_low": 179.5, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": 0.040811, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": 0.029411, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.463609, "worst_return": -0.21702, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.215072, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": 0.217897, "regime_survival": 0.125, "best_return": 1.129991, "worst_return": -0.163668, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.722021, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.617388, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.33218, "worst_return": 0.086138, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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323.988901 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 397.799988, "volume": 29420688, "typical_volume": 63736674.7, "trend": 295.138998, "fair_value": 169.185004, "relative_strength": 42.817517, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.021028, "energy": 50.548194, "activity_lines": [ 411.766661, 409.305449, 365.27771, 330.955954 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 394.299988, "volume": 34927931, "typical_volume": 63523361.35, "trend": 299.363998, "fair_value": 171.360941, "relative_strength": 42.619044, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.601583, "energy": 43.899992, "activity_lines": [ 404.916659, 408.930903, 372.372376, 337.353437 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 389.899994, "volume": 27509499, "typical_volume": 63665155.8, "trend": 303.297331, "fair_value": 173.492036, "relative_strength": 35.431371, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.915564, "energy": 33.315853, "activity_lines": [ 399.189992, 405.942721, 378.21928, 343.194469 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 403.850006, "volume": 22964892, "typical_volume": 63286112.45, "trend": 308.553998, "fair_value": 175.728551, "relative_strength": 37.16124, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.463744, "energy": 30.641506, "activity_lines": [ 397.746663, 404.857268, 384.493662, 349.681739 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }