{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2bfb4a4a-12e2-4bbf-b253-1482880be5e4", "symbol": "NFX", "name": "Nuformix plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -69.217, "architecture_energy": 59.784, "architecture_maturity": 58.0, "architecture_confidence": 89.349, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.84, "rotation_up": 12.49, "upward_expansion": 11.85, "deceleration": 38.63, "rotation_down": 70.72, "downward_expansion": 89.85 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.001503, 0.001635, 0.001728, 0.001813 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.00132, "trend_reference": 0.001976, "distance_from_trend": -0.331984, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.001828, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.278016, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -42.41448, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.426087, "excess_performance": -0.477322, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.331984, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.159149, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.278016, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.355603, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.424145, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.446274, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.426087, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.444731, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 68698419, "relative_activity": 0.717549, "balance": 0.444731, "dry_up": 0.552045, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.308275, "annualized_volatility": 0.868921, "from_high_reference": -0.762162, "from_low_reference": 0.833333 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.001976, "fair_value_reference": 0.001828, "structural_low": 0.00128, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 44, "median_return": -0.026786, "positive_rate": 0.386364, "directional_follow_through": 0.568182, "median_excess_return": -0.02786, "regime_survival": 0.909091, "best_return": 1.285714, "worst_return": -0.631111, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.105263, "positive_rate": 0.266667, "directional_follow_through": 0.733333, "median_excess_return": -0.116146, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 3.294118, "worst_return": -0.664706, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.213073, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.219301, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 1.705882, "worst_return": -0.7, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"relative_strength": -22.766081, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.912782, "energy": 27.145554, "activity_lines": [ 0.001757, 0.001808, 0.001827, 0.001926 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.0017, "volume": 27157569, "typical_volume": 133761689.65, "trend": 0.002079, "fair_value": 0.001849, "relative_strength": -24.177356, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.421612, "energy": 36.852729, "activity_lines": [ 0.001723, 0.001787, 0.00181, 0.001899 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.00145, "volume": 81530580, "typical_volume": 101997548.25, "trend": 0.002029, "fair_value": 0.001839, "relative_strength": -36.390323, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.15045, "energy": 50.361731, "activity_lines": [ 0.001617, 0.001721, 0.001774, 0.001859 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.00132, "volume": 68698419, "typical_volume": 95740445.4, "trend": 0.001976, "fair_value": 0.001828, "relative_strength": -42.41448, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.216742, "energy": 59.783706, "activity_lines": [ 0.001503, 0.001635, 0.001728, 0.001813 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }