{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "2bfdc0f1-e466-4146-86c9-abbf6762d8f9",
    "symbol": "601816",
    "name": "Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 74.853,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 19.85,
    "architecture_energy": 29.707,
    "architecture_maturity": 31.867,
    "architecture_confidence": 78.09,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 42.62,
        "rotation_up": 62.21,
        "upward_expansion": 40.42,
        "deceleration": 44.25,
        "rotation_down": 16.86,
        "downward_expansion": 17.75
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        5.005333,
        4.880364,
        4.873143,
        4.896774
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 5.04,
    "trend_reference": 4.924333,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.023489,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 5.168416,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.024846,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 0.416704,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.034908,
    "excess_performance": 0.078111,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.023489,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.02282,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.024846,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.042227,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.004167,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.162227,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.034908,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.982637,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 809066548,
      "relative_activity": 1.20043,
      "balance": 1.982637,
      "dry_up": 1.421794,
      "accumulation_observations": 6,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.041819,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.176203,
      "from_high_reference": -0.078529,
      "from_low_reference": 0.115044
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 4.924333,
      "fair_value_reference": 5.168416,
      "structural_low": 4.52,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.026157,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.025825,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.048626,
        "worst_return": -0.044925,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.076459,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.025264,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.029598,
        "worst_return": -0.084102,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.054635,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.021824,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.156448,
        "worst_return": -0.103,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.10016,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.173668,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.032271,
        "worst_return": -0.16805,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-09-06",
        "end": "2024-10-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.05535,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-10-18",
        "end": "2025-01-31",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.001757,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.043876,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.020548,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.024958,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.024449,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "end": "2025-08-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.039497,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-12-19",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.015237,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.049808,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-01-23",
        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.03272,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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      {
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        "active": true
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    ],
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      },
      {
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        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 655652780.4,
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        "fair_value": 5.170617,
        "relative_strength": 2.661404,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "direction": -19.190962,
        "energy": 12.963874,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 5.13,
        "volume": 1041001215,
        "typical_volume": 671642425.55,
        "trend": 4.928,
        "fair_value": 5.169714,
        "relative_strength": 4.730535,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 18.21599,
        "energy": 23.107314,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 5.04,
        "volume": 809066548,
        "typical_volume": 673980559.9,
        "trend": 4.924333,
        "fair_value": 5.168416,
        "relative_strength": 0.416704,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 19.850229,
        "energy": 29.707018,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}