{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2c013560-ead3-4efe-a1a8-67b3fa5ee2b3", "symbol": "TVT", "name": "TV Thunder Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 45.179, "architecture_energy": 47.278, "architecture_maturity": 17.021, "architecture_confidence": 58.075, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.77, "rotation_up": 69.3, "upward_expansion": 59.52, "deceleration": 22.89, "rotation_down": 18.73, "downward_expansion": 15.52 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.239333, 0.232, 0.220571, 0.220258 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.25, "trend_reference": 0.224667, "distance_from_trend": 0.11276, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.351218, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.288191, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -11.578861, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.041667, "excess_performance": -0.150658, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.11276, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.030216, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.288191, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.195702, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.115789, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.244073, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.041667, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 37.413261, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3082900, "relative_activity": 1.844088, "balance": 37.413261, "dry_up": 2.693604, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.089231, "annualized_volatility": 0.461817, "from_high_reference": -0.264706, "from_low_reference": 0.388889 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.224667, "fair_value_reference": 0.351218, "structural_low": 0.18, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.056604, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.08287, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.056604, "worst_return": -0.056604, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.358491, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.298822, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.358491, "worst_return": -0.358491, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.471698, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.289097, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.471698, "worst_return": -0.471698, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, 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"2024-12-27", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.03125, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-06-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.172414, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-06-27", "end": "2025-08-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.08, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-29", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.178571, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-26", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.1, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.038462, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward 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"2026-07-24", "close": 0.23, "volume": 1660600, "typical_volume": 1322850.0, "trend": 0.225, "fair_value": 0.353526, "relative_strength": -21.256328, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 22.368461, "energy": 32.371441, "activity_lines": [ 0.228, 0.222545, 0.214286, 0.217677 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.24, "volume": 6318200, "typical_volume": 1598235.0, "trend": 0.225, "fair_value": 0.352244, "relative_strength": -16.234631, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 31.978974, "energy": 44.091112, "activity_lines": [ 0.232667, 0.226727, 0.216952, 0.218645 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.25, "volume": 3082900, "typical_volume": 1671775.0, "trend": 0.224667, "fair_value": 0.351218, "relative_strength": -11.578861, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 45.179213, "energy": 47.278008, "activity_lines": [ 0.239333, 0.232, 0.220571, 0.220258 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }