{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2c0c6995-6d41-4756-9d28-8661d83ebc0b", "symbol": "XWEU", "name": "Xtrackers MSCI World ETF 2C EUR", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 85.226, "architecture_energy": 63.923, "architecture_maturity": 61.216, "architecture_confidence": 73.976, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.02, "rotation_up": 55.04, "upward_expansion": 81.16, "deceleration": 68.54, "rotation_down": 27.14, "downward_expansion": 10.16 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.982833, 13.912127, 13.763405, 13.521253 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 14.3095, "trend_reference": 13.2543, "distance_from_trend": 0.079612, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 11.18464, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.279389, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 2.756426, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.112152, "excess_performance": 0.047512, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.079612, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.033287, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.279389, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.04131, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.027564, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.061999, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.112152, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.590246, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 57731, "relative_activity": 0.616786, "balance": 3.590246, "dry_up": 0.641119, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.017315, "annualized_volatility": 0.122683, "from_high_reference": -0.002544, "from_low_reference": 0.215193 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.2543, "fair_value_reference": 11.18464, "structural_low": 11.961, "invalidation": "A 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73.215833, "energy": 68.160634, "activity_lines": [ 13.856033, 13.811582, 13.525221, 13.319983 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 13.8165, "volume": 52964, "typical_volume": 102962.9, "trend": 13.135867, "fair_value": 11.126977, "relative_strength": 5.798955, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.447913, "energy": 60.137006, "activity_lines": [ 13.853333, 13.821882, 13.581269, 13.366425 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 13.806, "volume": 51273, "typical_volume": 99013.15, "trend": 13.17135, "fair_value": 11.145327, "relative_strength": 4.34911, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.038761, "energy": 57.354739, "activity_lines": [ 13.842033, 13.8251, 13.632271, 13.409659 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.7995, "volume": 78066, "typical_volume": 95482.45, "trend": 13.20795, "fair_value": 11.163382, "relative_strength": 1.968614, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.332047, "energy": 49.780143, "activity_lines": [ 13.831767, 13.822755, 13.676824, 13.450185 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 14.3095, "volume": 57731, "typical_volume": 93599.65, "trend": 13.2543, "fair_value": 11.18464, "relative_strength": 2.756426, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 85.225717, "energy": 63.923366, "activity_lines": [ 13.982833, 13.912127, 13.763405, 13.521253 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }