{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2c19d5d0-44e9-43f4-b8e9-df7eb5a9e49f", "symbol": "301033", "name": "Medprin Regenerative Medical Technologies Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": 8.544, "architecture_energy": 20.449, "architecture_maturity": 18.254, "architecture_confidence": 51.805, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 51.31, "rotation_up": 44.53, "upward_expansion": 36.05, "deceleration": 42.03, "rotation_down": 14.76, "downward_expansion": 42.05 }, "activity_lines": [ 59.021999, 56.286545, 54.649163, 56.419091 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 62.259998, "trend_reference": 60.007473, "distance_from_trend": 0.037537, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 50.046535, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.244042, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -7.51401, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.071618, "excess_performance": -0.079018, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.037537, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.063907, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.244042, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.093175, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.07514, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.239569, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.071618, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.522705, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8108041, "relative_activity": 1.335849, "balance": 0.522705, "dry_up": 1.640804, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.107929, "annualized_volatility": 0.524037, "from_high_reference": -0.317313, "from_low_reference": 0.378654 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 60.007473, "fair_value_reference": 50.046535, "structural_low": 45.16, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.064661, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": -0.060221, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.002781, "worst_return": -0.106784, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.227027, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.254061, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.117866, "worst_return": -0.370104, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.153353, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.051826, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.040298, "worst_return": -0.266408, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-12-13", "end": "2025-03-14", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.063146, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-06-20", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.153467, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-06-27", "end": "2025-07-11", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.084168, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.220796, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-09-26", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.145183, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": 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"fair_value": 49.597037, "relative_strength": -23.401841, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.128752, "energy": 26.168505, "activity_lines": [ 53.128667, 51.769094, 53.690664, 57.04801 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 54.860001, "volume": 10097474, "typical_volume": 5178929.95, "trend": 60.799889, "fair_value": 49.67631, "relative_strength": -16.939019, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -33.276759, "energy": 22.74123, "activity_lines": [ 54.275334, 52.305528, 53.512464, 56.643192 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 54.0, "volume": 9526765, "typical_volume": 5423401.6, "trend": 60.38319, "fair_value": 49.756452, "relative_strength": -18.130394, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -26.630448, "energy": 24.853142, "activity_lines": [ 54.687334, 52.713868, 53.336807, 56.204489 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 61.599998, "volume": 12103672, "typical_volume": 5811513.7, "trend": 60.150481, "fair_value": 49.894607, "relative_strength": -4.461848, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 5.145213, "energy": 16.144749, "activity_lines": [ 57.292666, 54.517818, 53.951484, 56.282993 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 62.259998, "volume": 8108041, "typical_volume": 6069579.4, "trend": 60.007473, "fair_value": 50.046535, "relative_strength": -7.51401, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 8.544136, "energy": 20.449212, "activity_lines": [ 59.021999, 56.286545, 54.649163, 56.419091 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }